Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41256012›Full record

ArticleAlzheimer's & dementia (Amsterdam, Netherlands)

A lightweight machine learning tool for Alzheimer's disease prediction.

Vinay Suresh, Tulika Nahar, Arkansh Sharma, Suhrud Panchawagh, Omer Mohammed, Muneeb Ahmad Muneer, Devansh Mishra, Amogh Verma, Vivek Sanker, Ayush Mishra and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Alzheimer's & dementia (Amsterdam, Netherlands). The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Vinay SureshKing George's Medical University Lucknow Uttar Pradesh India.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1401-9154
Tulika NaharSchool of Medicine Dentistry & Biomedical Sciences, Queen's University Belfast Belfast Northern Ireland UK.
Arkansh SharmaGovernment Medical College, Omandurar Chennai Tamil Nadu India.
Suhrud PanchawaghDepartment of Neurology Mayo Clinic Scottsdale Arizona USA.
Omer MohammedGovernment Medical College Kozhikode Kerala India.
Muneeb Ahmad MuneerAllama Iqbal Medical College Lahore Punjab Pakistan.
Devansh MishraKing George's Medical University Lucknow Uttar Pradesh India.
Amogh VermaSR Sanjeevani Hospital, Kalyanpur Siraha Nepal.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2499-4874
Vivek SankerDepartment of Neurosurgery Stanford University Stanford California USA.
Ayush MishraTuring Palo Alto California USA.
Hardeep Singh MalhotraDepartment of Neurology King George's Medical University Lucknow Uttar Pradesh India.
Ravindra Kumar GargDepartment of Neurology Era's Medical College and Hospital, Era University Lucknow Uttar Pradesh India.

Funding

National Alzheimer's Coordinating CenterU24AG072122 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI STEPHENS, KARI A · 2021 to 2025
$45.8M
Research Education ComponentP30AG062422 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Katherine P Rankin · 2019 to 2026
$36.9M
Research Education ComponentP30AG062421 · NIA · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI BRADFORD C DICKERSON · 2019 to 2026
$36.5M
UCSD Shiley-Marcos Alzheimer's Disease Research Center P30P30AG062429 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI JAMES B BREWER · 2019 to 2026
$34.9M
Wisconsin Alzheimer's Disease Research CenterP30AG062715 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI Sanjay Asthana · 2019 to 2026
$34.5M
Research Education ComponentP30AG062677 · NIA · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI Pamela J McLean · 2019 to 2026
$33.5M
Research Education ComponentP30AG066514 · NIA · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI Margaret Sewell · 2020 to 2026
$31.0M
Yale Alzheimer Disease Research CenterP30AG066508 · NIA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI STEPHEN M STRITTMATTER, CHRISTOPHER H VAN DYCK · 2020 to 2026
$30.2M
Research Education CoreP30AG066462 · NIA · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI PHILIP L DE JAGER · 2020 to 2026
$30.1M
Research Education ComponentP30AG066468 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI C. Elizabeth Shaaban · 2020 to 2026
$29.4M
Research Education ComponentP30AG066507 · NIA · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Corinne Pettigrew · 2020 to 2026
$29.3M
University of Washington Alzheimer's Disease Research CenterP30AG066509 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI Caitlin Shannon Latimer · 2020 to 2026
$29.0M
NIA NIH HHS P20 AG068082NIA NIH HHS P30 AG062421NIA NIH HHS P30 AG062422NIA NIH HHS P30 AG062429NIA NIH HHS P30 AG062677NIA NIH HHS P30 AG062715NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066444NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066462NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066468NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066506NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066507NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066508NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066509NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066511NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066512NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066514NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066515NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066518NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066519NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066530NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066546NIA NIH HHS P30 AG072931NIA NIH HHS P30 AG072946NIA NIH HHS P30 AG072947NIA NIH HHS P30 AG072958NIA NIH HHS P30 AG072959NIA NIH HHS P30 AG072972NIA NIH HHS P30 AG072973NIA NIH HHS P30 AG072975NIA NIH HHS P30 AG072976NIA NIH HHS P30 AG072977NIA NIH HHS P30 AG072978NIA NIH HHS P30 AG072979NIA NIH HHS P30 AG086401NIA NIH HHS P30 AG086404NIA NIH HHS R01 AG079280NIA NIH HHS U24 AG072122
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionAlzheimer's disease (AD) is a progressive neurodegenerative disorder that needs better predictive tools. Using the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center Uniform Data Set, this study developed machine learning (ML) models and a practical clinical tool for AD prediction.

methodsData from 52,537 individuals (22,371 with AD) and more than 200 variables were processed with MissForest imputation and genetic algorithm-based selection. Multiple ML models were trained, and interpretability was performed using SHAP and permutation importance. A LightGBM model was refined through iterative backward feature elimination (IBFE) followed by manual refinement.

resultsLightGBM performed best (receiver operating characteristic-area under the curve [ROC-AUC] 0.91, accuracy 82.0%). Key predictors included arthritis, age, body mass index, and heart rate. A 19-feature model retained accuracy (81.2%) and ROC-AUC (0.90). DISCUSSION: This lightweight tool predicts AD using mostly routine variables. Limitations include its cross-sectional nature, and would need external validation. An interactive web app and GitHub resource are available. Highlights: Developed a lightweight ML based tool using 19 routinely available features.The lightweight model achieved an ROC-AUC of 0.90 for Alzheimer's disease prediction on NACC multicenter data.Genetic algorithm, IBFE, and manual refinement enabled optimal feature selection.Tool hosted on an open-access platform for clinical and research use.SHAP analysis provided model interpretability and feature-level insights.

Indexed as

Alzheimer's diseaseLightGBM modelmachine learningpredictive modelingrisk prediction

Identifiers

PMID41256012
PMCPMC12620993

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.