Evidence mapPaperPMID 41278400Full record

ArticleJTO clinical and research reports2025

Risk Factors Associated With Incidence of Lung Cancer in Never-Smokers: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Sindhu Bhaarrati Naidu, Allegra Wisking, Akul Karoshi, Sarah Burdett, Peter J Godolphin, Sanjay Popat, OLIVE PPI Group, Sam M Janes, Neal Navani

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Article in JTO clinical and research reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Observational
  2. Article
  3. Review
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  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Sindhu Bhaarrati NaiduLungs for Living Research Centre, UCL Respiratory, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Allegra WiskingUniversity College London, London, United Kingdom.
Akul KaroshiUniversity College London, London, United Kingdom.
Sarah BurdettMeta-analysis Group, MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials and Methodology, UCL, London, United Kingdom.
Peter J GodolphinMeta-analysis Group, MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials and Methodology, UCL, London, United Kingdom.
Sanjay PopatLung Unit, Royal Marsden Hospital, London, United Kingdom.
OLIVE PPI Group
Sam M JanesLungs for Living Research Centre, UCL Respiratory, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Neal NavaniLungs for Living Research Centre, UCL Respiratory, University College London, London, United Kingdom.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objectives: Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer mortality globally. Although often associated with smoking, up to 25% of cases worldwide and 50% in East Asia occur in "never-smokers." There are currently no robust tools for predicting lung cancer in individuals who have never smoked (LCINS) for populations outside East Asia.Together with a group of patient representatives, the authors of this study aimed to summarise risk factors for LCINS and quantify risk in different geographical regions. Methods: This study was prospectively registered (PROSPERO-CRD42022379253). The systematic review and meta-analysis included studies published from 2017 and aimed to comprehensively investigate risk factors associated with LCINS incidence. Risk of bias was assessed using Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Results: A total of 6725 reports were identified and 54 studies were included, with multivariable analysis of 192 factors in 16 million never-smokers. No studies were assessed as having high risk of bias. Of the participants, 8,241,269 (51.0%) were from Western countries.The meta-analysis found that female sex (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.28 [95% confidence interval or CI 1.12-1.47]), previous cancer (aHR 2.04 [1.95-2.13]), rheumatoid arthritis (aHR 1.41 [1.15-1.73]), passive smoking (aHR 1.30 [1.22-1.40]), PM10 (aHR 1.10 [1.09-1.11]), and PM2.5 (aHR 1.16 [1.03-1.30]) pollution were associated with LCINS. In planned subgroup analyses by region, LCINS was associated with family history of lung cancer in East Asian (aHR 1.56 [1.23-1.98]) but not Western countries (aHR 0.86 [0.35-2.11]). Conclusion: We found key factors linked with LCINS, including female sex, rheumatoid arthritis, and pollution and, for the first time, quantified their association through meta-analyses of studies globally. This may be used to develop tools to detect LCINS earlier.

Indexed as

EpidemiologyLung neoplasmsNever-smokersNonsmokersRisk factors

Identifiers

PMID41278400
PMCPMC12639266

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.