Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41280545›Full record

ArticleHeart rhythm O22025

Bleeding risk in East Asian patients with atrial fibrillation: Validation of the DOAC score in a Japanese multicenter registry.

Takahiko Nishiyama, Shun Kohsaka, Ryo Nakamaru, Yoshinori Katsumata, Takehiro Kimura, Ikuko Ueda, Yasuyuki Shiraishi, Tomohiko Ono, Kojiro Tanimoto, Seiji Takatsuki and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Heart rhythm O2, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Takahiko NishiyamaDepartment of Cardiology, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.
Shun KohsakaDepartment of Cardiology, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.
Ryo NakamaruDepartment of Cardiology, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.
Yoshinori KatsumataDepartment of Cardiology, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.
Takehiro KimuraDepartment of Cardiology, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.
Ikuko UedaDepartment of Cardiology, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.
Yasuyuki ShiraishiDepartment of Cardiology, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.
Tomohiko OnoDepartment of Cardiology, National Hospital Organization Saitama Hospital, Saitama, Japan.
Kojiro TanimotoDepartment of Cardiology, National Hospital Organization Tokyo Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan.
Seiji TakatsukiDepartment of Cardiology, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.
Masaki IedaDepartment of Cardiology, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Bleeding events remain relatively frequent in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), posing significant clinical challenges in routine patient management. The recently developed direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) score shows promise in predicting bleeding risk; however, its performance in East Asian patients is not well characterized. Objective: This study aimed to assess the performance of the DOAC score in a contemporary outpatient-based registry of Japanese patients with AF and evaluate potential modifications to enhance its predictive accuracy. Methods: The Keio Interhospital Cardiovascular Studies-Atrial Fibrillation registry is a multicenter prospective database designed according to international standards for newly diagnosed AF. Adjudicated bleeding events were prospectively collected, and we assessed each bleeding risk score's predictive capacity using the C-index and calibration analysis. Performance was evaluated at 1- and 5-year intervals. Results: Among 2101 patients (median age of 70 years; 67.9% men), the overall 1- and 5-year bleeding incidence was 2.1% and 4.7%, respectively. The DOAC score demonstrated acceptable discrimination at 1 year (C-index 0.704, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.634-0.774), which was maintained over the extended 5-year follow-up (C-index 0.690, 95% CI 0.640-0.741). Calibration analysis showed acceptable performance across validation datasets. Notably, modifying antiplatelet scoring by distinguishing aspirin (2 points) from other antiplatelets (1 point) improved the performance (C-index 0.707, 95% CI 0.637-0.777). Conclusion: The DOAC score proved valuable for long-term bleeding risk assessment in Japanese patients with AF, with enhanced performance through antiplatelet stratification. These findings support its implementation in East Asian populations for individualized clinical decision making.

Indexed as

Atrial fibrillationBleeding eventsClinical outcomesDirect oral anticoagulantDOAC score

Identifiers

PMID41280545
PMCPMC12635741

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.