Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41350629›Full record

ArticleBMC medical research methodology2025

Trial Sequential Analysis for dichotomous outcomes - a practical guide for systematic review protocols.

Sophie Juul, Christian Gunge Riberholt, Markus Harboe Olsen, Joachim Birch Milan, Sigurlaug Hanna Hafliðadóttir, Jeppe Houmann Svanholm, Elisabeth Buck Pedersen, Charles Chin Han Lew, Mark Aninakwah Asante, Johanne Pereira Ribeiro and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical research methodology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Sophie JuulCopenhagen Trial Unit, Centre for Clinical Intervention Research, The Capital Region, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Blegdamsvej 9, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark. sophie.juul@ctu.dk.
Christian Gunge RiberholtCopenhagen Trial Unit, Centre for Clinical Intervention Research, The Capital Region, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Blegdamsvej 9, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Markus Harboe OlsenCopenhagen Trial Unit, Centre for Clinical Intervention Research, The Capital Region, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Blegdamsvej 9, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Joachim Birch MilanCopenhagen Trial Unit, Centre for Clinical Intervention Research, The Capital Region, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Blegdamsvej 9, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Sigurlaug Hanna HafliðadóttirBjarg Rehabilitation Center, Bugðusíðu 1, Akureyri, 603, Iceland.
Jeppe Houmann SvanholmDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Aalborg University Hospital South, Hobrovej 18-22, 9000, Aalborg, Denmark.
Elisabeth Buck PedersenDepartment of Brain and Spinal Cord Injury, Neuroscience Centre, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Valdemarsvej 23, 2600, Glostrup, Denmark.
Charles Chin Han LewDepartment of Dietetics and Nutrition, Ng Teng Fong General Hospital, Singapore, Singapore.
Mark Aninakwah AsanteCopenhagen Trial Unit, Centre for Clinical Intervention Research, The Capital Region, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Blegdamsvej 9, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Johanne Pereira RibeiroCenter for Evidence-Based Psychiatry, Psychiatric Research Unit, Psychiatry Region Zealand, Region Zealand, Fælledvej 6, 4200, Slagelse, Denmark.
Vibeke WagnerDepartment of Brain and Spinal Cord Injury, Neuroscience Centre, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Valdemarsvej 23, 2600, Glostrup, Denmark.
Buddheera W M B KumburegamaCopenhagen Trial Unit, Centre for Clinical Intervention Research, The Capital Region, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Blegdamsvej 9, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Zheng-Yii LeeDepartment of Anaesthesiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Malaya, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Julie Perrine SchaugCenter for Evidence-Based Psychiatry, Psychiatric Research Unit, Psychiatry Region Zealand, Region Zealand, Fælledvej 6, 4200, Slagelse, Denmark.
Christina MadsenPsychiatric Research Unit, Psychiatry Region Zealand, Region Zealand, Fælledvej 6, 4200, Slagelse, Denmark.
Christian GluudCopenhagen Trial Unit, Centre for Clinical Intervention Research, The Capital Region, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Blegdamsvej 9, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTrial Sequential Analysis (TSA) is a statistical method to control random errors in systematic reviews with meta-analyses of randomised clinical trials. In our results from the Major Mistakes and Errors in Trial Sequential Analysis (METSA) project, we systematically assessed the use of TSA across all medical fields and found significant mistakes in the preplanning and reporting of most TSAs. This article provides a practical guide for authors of systematic review protocols on what to consider when planning Trial Sequential Analysis for dichotomous outcomes.

methodsThis practical guide has been developed based on the TSA manual, the recommendations published previously by Jakobsen and colleagues and Wetterslev and colleagues along with the findings from our recently published results from the METSA project.

resultsThe following five parameters should be clearly defined in a publicly available protocol before the review is undertaken: 1) the proportion of participants with an event in the control group; 2) the relative risk reduction or increase in the experimental group; 3) the risk of type I errors (alpha); 4) the risk of type II errors (beta); and 5) the diversity of the meta-analysis. Improving the planning and reporting of these parameters will improve the interpretation, reproducibility, and validity of Trial Sequential Analysis results used in systematic reviews.

conclusionsWe hope this practical guide will aid in improving pre-registration and reporting of TSAs of dichotomous outcomes within systematic review protocols with meta-analysis of randomised clinical trials in the future.

Indexed as

Meta-Analysis as TopicOutcome Assessment, Health CareRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicResearch DesignSystematic Reviews as TopicData Interpretation, StatisticalHumansClinical trial methodologyImprecisionMeta-analysisRandom errorsSystematic reviewTrial sequential analysis

Identifiers

PMID41350629
PMCPMC12681131

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.