Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41350643›Full record

ArticleBMC nephrology2025

Obesity and mortality in KDIGO stage 3 acute kidney injury: a machine learning-driven retrospective cohort study.

Qi-Cong Li, Hao-Jie Jin, Tian-Pei Mou, Qun-Li Li, Min-Hao Zhang, Wei-Yi Xia, Zi-Yi Huang, Xi-Hao Zhong, Xiang-Tao Zheng

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC nephrology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Qi-Cong Li *Department of Vascular Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Hao-Jie Jin *Department of Vascular Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Tian-Pei MouDepartment of Vascular Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Qun-Li LiDepartment of Vascular Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Min-Hao ZhangDepartment of Vascular Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Wei-Yi XiaDepartment of Vascular Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Zi-Yi HuangDepartment of Vascular Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Xi-Hao ZhongDepartment of Vascular Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Xiang-Tao ZhengDepartment of Vascular Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China. lllqcong@126.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAcute kidney injury (AKI) is a common and life-threatening condition in intensive care unit (ICU) patients. The relationship between body mass index (BMI) and survival outcomes in the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) stage 3 AKI remains unclear. Clarifying this association is essential for risk stratification and optimizing individualized management in critically ill populations.

methodsA retrospective cohort study was conducted using the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) 3.0 database, including 5609 ICU patients with KDIGO stage 3 AKI. Patients were categorized according to the World Health Organization (WHO) BMI classification. The primary outcomes were all-cause mortality at 7, 28, and 365 days after ICU admission. Statistical analyses included restricted cubic spline (RCS) modelling, logistic regression, and Kaplan–Meier (KM) survival curves to evaluate the association between BMI and mortality. A random forest-based Boruta algorithm was applied for feature selection, and multiple machine learning models were developed to predict mortality risk, with their performances compared to identify the optimal approach.

resultsHigher BMI was inversely associated with mortality risk, with the protective effect becoming more pronounced over time. Patients with higher BMI had significantly lower 28-day and 365-day mortality (OR < 1, p < 0.05). RCS analysis confirmed a nonlinear protective relationship between BMI and mortality. However, this survival benefit was attenuated in patients who received continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT), suggesting an interaction between BMI and CRRT on survival outcomes. Among various predictive models, the Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) demonstrated the highest predictive accuracy.

conclusionsLightGBM demonstrated the highest predictive performance for mortality risk in ICU patients with KDIGO stage 3 AKI. Higher BMI was independently associated with improved short- and long-term survival, although this protective effect was attenuated in those receiving CRRT. These findings support incorporating BMI into risk stratification and prognostic modelling for KDIGO stage 3 AKI patients, while accounting for the modifying impact of renal replacement therapy.

Indexed as

Acute Kidney InjuryMachine LearningObesityAgedBody Mass IndexFemaleHumansIntensive Care UnitsMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Learning ModelsRandom ForestRetrospective StudiesAcute kidney injuryBody mass indexIntensive care medicineMachine learningMIMIC-IV database

Identifiers

PMID41350643
PMCPMC12797377

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.