ArticleBMC plant biology2025
Predicting the impact of climate change on the habitat suitability and phytochemical quality of Salvia multicaulis Vahl.
Article in BMC plant biology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
1 citing paper in PubMed.
- Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundSalvia multicaulisVahl is a medicinally valuable and ecologically sensitive species native to the Middle East. It is increasingly threatened by climate change and overharvesting. This study aimed to (1) predict the current (2025) and future (2050 and 2070) habitat suitability of S. multicaulis under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP245 and SSP585) using MaxEnt model based on a set of climatic, topographic, and edaphic variables, (2) assess spatial variation in its phytochemical profiles, and (3) develop a quality zoning map integrating chemical and ecological data. A total of 35 occurrence records were compiled for ecological niche modeling, among which 17 representative populations were selected and analyzed for key bioactive compounds-ursolic acid, betulinic acid, oleanolic acid, total phenolics, flavonoids, and tannins-using HPLC and spectrophotometry.
resultsHabitat modeling utilized 36 environmental predictors, with MaxEnt achieving a high mean AUC of 0.975. Principal component analysis, hierarchical clustering, and Pearson correlation analysis revealed distinct chemotypes and moderate correlations between compound concentrations and environmental factors, particularly soil organic carbon, nitrogen, temperature, and precipitation. Under future climate scenarios, suitable habitats are projected to shift northeast and southwest and fragment. Quantitatively, the total suitable habitat of S. multicaulis is projected to decline slightly (≈ - 2.5%) under SSP245-2050s, while modest expansions of ~ 1.8-4.3% are expected under higher-emission and long-term scenarios. Integration of habitat suitability and phytochemical richness revealed western and northwestern Iran as current hotspots for high-quality populations, while the north and northeastern regions may emerge as future refugia.
conclusionsThese findings underscore the urgency of climate-informed conservation and cultivation planning for preserving both the ecological and pharmaceutical value of S. multicaulis, while supporting its sustainable harvesting from natural habitats.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What Socratic holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.