Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41364596›Full record

Trial reportCPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology2026

Population Pharmacokinetics and Exposure-Response Model-Based Bayesian Extrapolation of FVC-Based Efficacy Endpoints From Adults to Pediatric Patients Receiving Nintedanib.

Sonja Hartmann, Anna Chan Kwong, Jakob Ribbing, Martina Gahlemann, Julia Korell

Abstract readClinical Trial, Phase III
In one paragraph

Trial report in CPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Trial
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Sonja HartmannTranslational Medicine and Clinical Pharmacology, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Ridgefield, Connecticut, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0693-0562
Anna Chan KwongPharmetheus AB, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1524-7490
Jakob RibbingPharmetheus AB, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0008-3572-9711
Martina GahlemannBoehringer Ingelheim (Schweiz) GmbH, Basel, Switzerland.
Julia KorellTranslational Medicine and Clinical Pharmacology, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Ridgefield, Connecticut, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3807-3323

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Nintedanib reduces the rate of decline in forced vital capacity (FVC) in adult patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), chronic progressive-fibrosing interstitial lung diseases (ILDs) and systemic sclerosis-associated ILD (SSc-ILD). A pediatric Phase 3 trial (InPedILD) has been conducted in children 6-17 years, and partial extrapolation from adults to pediatrics was performed to support dose selection and benefit-risk assessment in pediatric patients with progressive-fibrosing ILDs. Previously developed population pharmacokinetic (popPK) and efficacy exposure-response (ER) meta-models across all non-oncologic pulmonary indications of nintedanib in adults were used as a basis for partial extrapolation to pediatric patients. Data from InPedILD and its open-label extension trial (InPedILD-ON) were incorporated and a Bayesian approach was utilized to extrapolate PK and FVC-based efficacy endpoints. PK of nintedanib was adequately described using a similar structure as the adult popPK model. The weight-based dosing scheme applied in InPedILD resulted in exposures similar to those in adult patients receiving the approved dose of nintedanib 150 mg twice daily. The ER models for FVC %predicted and FVC Z-score were similar to those developed in adults. Compared to adults, pediatric patients showed a slower estimated rate of decline for both endpoints. The estimated EC50 and Emax values in children and adolescents were comparable to those in adults. Partial extrapolation from adult to pediatric patients showed that the pre-defined pediatric dosing regimen resulted in similar nintedanib exposures compared to the efficacious exposures in adults. ER models suggested a similar beneficial treatment effect of nintedanib on FVC in children and adults.

Indexed as

Idiopathic Pulmonary FibrosisIndolesLung Diseases, InterstitialModels, BiologicalAdolescentAdultBayes TheoremChildDose-Response Relationship, DrugFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedScleroderma, SystemicTreatment OutcomeVital CapacityIndolesnintedanibBayesian extrapolationinterstitial lung diseasesnintedanibnonlinear mixed effects modelingpediatric drug development

Identifiers

PMID41364596
PMCPMC12823301

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.