Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41393261›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in cardiovascular medicine2025

Comparison of multiple machine learning methods for predicting postoperative hyperglycemia in patients without diabetes undergoing cardiac surgery.

Jinyan Wu, Mengli Zhang, Senxiu Cui, Guili Yang, Lulu Wang, Huan Duan, Fang Xue

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Article in Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jinyan WuSchool of Nursing, Bengbu Medical University, Bengbu, Anhui, China.
Mengli ZhangCardiovascular Medicine, The Third People's Hospital of Bengbu, Bengbu, Anhui, China.
Senxiu CuiSchool of Nursing, Bengbu Medical University, Bengbu, Anhui, China.
Guili YangMedical Oncology, First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical University, Bengbu, Anhui, China.
Lulu WangCardiac Surgery, First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical University, Bengbu, Anhui, China.
Huan DuanIntensive Care Unit, First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical University, Bengbu, Anhui, China.
Fang XueSchool of Nursing, Bengbu Medical University, Bengbu, Anhui, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Stress-induced hyperglycemia (SHG) represents a significant metabolic complication in non-diabetic cardiac surgery older adult patients, with substantial implications for postoperative outcomes. Despite its clinical importance, reliable predictive tools remain scarce. This study systematically compared the performance of logistic regression 5 s. advanced machine learning algorithms for SHG risk prediction in this vulnerable population. Patients and Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of 600 patients (≥65 years) undergoing cardiac surgery at a tertiary medical center (January 2021-May 2025). Six clinically relevant perioperative variables were incorporated into five predictive models: logistic regression, Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). Model performance was rigorously evaluated using AUC-ROC with 95% confidence intervals, sensitivity, specificity, positive (PPV) and negative predictive values (NPV), and precision. Results: The incidence of SHG in this cohort was 70.5%. Comparative analysis revealed logistic regression as the top-performing model (AUC 0.944, 95% CI 0.923-0.966), surpassing other algorithms: GBM (0.923, 0.902-0.952), 10GBoost (0.904, 0.890-0.941), AdaBoost (0.916, 0.871-0.936), and RF (0.877, 0.866-0.932). Moreover, the logistic model achieved optimal performance in sensitivity (94.5%), specificity (93.4%), PPV (97.7%), and NPV (96.8%). Conclusion: In contrast to more complex machine learning approaches, logistic regression demonstrated superior predictive accuracy for SHG in non-diabetic cardiac surgery older adult patients. Its exceptional performance metrics and clinical interpretability support its practical utility as an effective decision-support tool for perioperative risk stratification and management.

Indexed as

model predictionnomogramsretrospective analysisrisk assessmentstress hyperglycaemia

Identifiers

PMID41393261
PMCPMC12695824

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.