Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41407398›Full record

Trial reportJournal for immunotherapy of cancer2025

Final results of ANICCA-Class II, a single arm, open-label phase II trial assessing nivolumab in tissue-specific class II expressing metastatic microsatellite stable colorectal cancer, with a parallel assessment of the immunoscore-immune checkpoint as a predictive biomarker for single-agent anti-PD-1.

Gary Middleton, Charlotte Gaskell, Joshua Savage, John Bridgewater, Paul Ross, Mark Saunders, Daniel Palmer, Ruth Plummer, Sally Clive, Vicky Coyle and 4 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract readClinical Trial, Phase II
In one paragraph

Trial report in Journal for immunotherapy of cancer, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03981146 (A Phase II Trial Assessing Nivolumab in Class II Expressing Microsatellite Stable Colorectal Cancer), which is not on this map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03981146 phase2completednot on this map

A Phase II Trial Assessing Nivolumab in Class II Expressing Microsatellite Stable Colorectal Cancer

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of BirminghamRan2019 to 2024Enrolled35ConditionsColorectal CancerArmsNivolumab
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Gary MiddletonDepartment of Immunology and Immunotherapy, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK G.Middleton@bham.ac.uk.
Charlotte GaskellUniversity of Birmingham Cancer Research UK Clinical Trials Unit, Birmingham, UK.
Joshua SavageUniversity of Birmingham Cancer Research UK Clinical Trials Unit, Birmingham, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-0245
John BridgewaterUniversity College London Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9186-1604
Paul RossGuy's Hospital, London, UK.
Mark SaundersChristie Hospital, Manchester, UK.
Daniel PalmerClatterbridge Cancer Centre NHS Foundation Trust, Bebington, UK.
Ruth PlummerNewcastle University, Northern Centre for Cancer Care, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Sally CliveWestern General Hospital, Edinburgh, UK.
Vicky CoyleBelfast City Hospital, Belfast, UK.
Anne ThomasLeicester Royal Infirmary, Leicester, UK.
David CunninghamRoyal Marsden Hospital NHS Trust, London, UK.
Phillipe TaniereUniversity Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Birmingham, UK.
Lucinda BillinghamUniversity of Birmingham Cancer Research UK Clinical Trials Unit, Birmingham, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNeutralization of interferon (IFN)-γ abrogates the efficacy of anti-programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-(L)1) checkpoint inhibitors. Most epithelial cells do not constitutively express major histocompatibility complex (MHC) class II but can be induced to do so by IFN-γ. Inducible tumor-specific MHC class II (tsMHC-II) underlies responsiveness to anti-PD-(L)1. Retrospective studies show that tsMHC-II positivity associates with improved outcomes in patients treated with anti-PD-(L)1. The ANICCA-Class II single-arm Bayesian phase II trial prospectively explored whether positive tsMHC-II status could be a useful selection marker for anti-programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-1) in proficient mismatch repair colorectal cancer (pMMR CRC). In parallel, we retrospectively evaluated the potential predictive power of immunoscore-immune checkpoint (IS-IC) for outcome with single-agent immune checkpoint blockade.

methodsPatients with histologically confirmed locally advanced/metastatic pMMR CRC with >1% MHC class II expression, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status 0-2, aged ≥18 years were eligible. Participants received 480 mg nivolumab every 28 days for up to 24 cycles. The primary outcome was durable clinical benefit (DCB) defined as participants remaining progression-free at their third trial-specific scan since treatment start (ie, at approximately 27 weeks). Secondary outcomes included progression-free survival time (PFS) and overall survival time (OS).

results35 participants were treated: 65.7% of participants' cancers were tsMHC-II ≥5%. 3/35 patients achieved DCB (8.6%), estimating the true DCB rate (R) of 11% (95% credible interval 3% to 22%) with 0.002 probability that the true DCBR was >30%, below the required 0.5 to warrant further research. The higher tsMHC-II cut-point ≥5% was not more useful in predicting duration of disease stabilization. All three participants who achieved DCB had no evidence of liver metastases (LM); DCBR 23.1% in those without versus 0% in those with LM. PFS and OS were significantly greater in those without LM. There was no evidence that IS-IC high predicted for prolonged time on treatment or improved tumor growth inhibition.

conclusionsIn pMMR CRC, tsMHC-II positivity fails to identify a subset of patients with metastatic pMMR CRC obtaining potentially meaningful benefit from single-agent anti-PD-1. Although numbers are limited, there is no clear evidence that IS-IC is predictive of outcome with single-agent anti-PD-1. The poor outcome in those with LM underscores the need for therapies that overcome the systemic immunosuppression driven by LM.

Indexed as

Antineoplastic Agents, ImmunologicalBiomarkers, TumorColorectal NeoplasmsHistocompatibility Antigens Class IIImmune Checkpoint InhibitorsNivolumabProgrammed Cell Death 1 ReceptorAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesAntineoplastic Agents, ImmunologicalBiomarkers, TumorHistocompatibility Antigens Class IIImmune Checkpoint InhibitorsNivolumabProgrammed Cell Death 1 ReceptorColorectal CancerImmune Checkpoint InhibitorImmunosuppressionMajor histocompatibility complex - MHCMismatch repair - MMR

Identifiers

PMID41407398
PMCPMC12716601

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.