Prognosis of patients hospitalised with primary or secondary pericardial disease: an Australian population-based retrospective cohort study.

objectivesTo describe the outcomes and associations of pericardial disease, with a particular focus on the outcomes of patients admitted with primary or secondary pericardial disease.

designRetrospective observational study.

settingAll public and private hospitals in New South Wales, Australia.

participantsHospitalised patients with pericardial disease admitted from 2004 to 2021 that was (a) a primary diagnosis or (b) a secondary diagnosis. MEASURES: Mortality both in-hospital and during several years of available follow-up.

resultsOut of 45 446 patients diagnosed with pericardial disease, under half (46.8%) had pericardial disease as the primary reason for hospitalisation. Patients in whom pericardial disease was the primary compared with the secondary diagnosis were more commonly male (68.2% vs 59.1%), younger (median 51.2 years vs 66.0 years) and less comorbid (age-adjusted median Charlson Comorbidity Index 1 vs 4). In patients with pericardial disease, adjusted in-hospital mortality was fivefold lower if this was the primary diagnosis (OR 0.21, p<0.001). Malignancy affected 19% of the population and after adjustment was associated with a much higher in-hospital mortality for patients with a primary (OR 4.33) or secondary diagnosis of pericardial disease (OR 2.67). Other negative prognostic factors included older age, liver disease, chronic kidney disease, pulmonary hypertension, heart failure and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

conclusionsPatients with pericardial disease have a low in-hospital mortality of about 1% if this was the primary diagnosis. However, patients in whom it was a secondary diagnosis, especially in the presence of comorbidities such as malignancy, had a much worse prognosis.