Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41413296›Full record

ArticleDiabetologia2026

Impact of overweight and obesity on fasting insulin secretion in men and women without diabetes: effect sizes and mechanisms.

Martina Chiriacò, Domenico Tricò, John R Petrie, Rafael Gabriel, Amalia Gastaldelli, John Nolan, Nebojsa Lalic, Geltrude Mingrone, Andrea Mari, Andrea Natali

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetologia, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Martina ChiriacòDepartment of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy. martina.chiriaco@med.unipi.it.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0174-4549
Domenico TricòDepartment of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7633-1346
John R PetrieSchool of Health and Wellbeing, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4894-9819
Rafael GabrielDepartamento de Salud Internacional, Escuela Nacional de Sanidad, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6084-6487
Amalia GastaldelliSant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2594-1651
John NolanDepartment of Clinical Medicine, Trinity College, Dublin, Ireland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3648-1590
Nebojsa LalicFaculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8082-6560
Geltrude MingroneDivision of Diabetes & Nutritional Sciences, School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine & Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2021-528X
Andrea MariInstitute of Neuroscience, National Research Council, Padova, Italy.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1436-5591
Andrea NataliDepartment of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-7717

Funding

European Commission QLG1-CT-2001-01252
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aims/hypothesisFasting hyperinsulinaemia is a key feature of obesity and is implicated in diabetes progression. However, the following aspects of insulin secretion remain unclear: (1) which index of obesity is most important; (2) what is the shape of the dose-response curve between obesity and insulin secretion; (3) what physiological mechanisms sustain insulin hypersecretion; (4) what are the underlying causes; and (5) whether sex-related differences exist.

methodsWe analysed data from 1250 healthy participants (547 men, 703 women) of the EGIR-RISC cohort followed up for 3.5 years, with age 30-60 years and BMI 18.5-40.0 kg/m

resultsThe impact of obesity on fasting insulin secretion (FIS) was continuous across the full spectrum of BMI and WHR values and was greater in men than women. Among adiposity indices, fat mass (standardised β coefficient [Stβ] 0.27, p<0.0001) and waist circumference (Stβ 0.21, p<0.0001) were the strongest predictors of FIS. Insulin secretion increased 2.4-fold across BMI deciles, and adiposity-associated insulin hypersecretion appeared to be driven by the combination of hyperglycaemia and an increase in a specific beta cell function variable (insulin secretion rate at 5 mmol/l glucose [ISR@5]). In the follow-up cohort, weight gain (mean ± SD ∆ weight=+5.1 ± 3.8 kg) was associated with an increase in FIS and fasting glucose (+0.20 ± 0.63 mmol/l, p<0.03), whereas weight loss (-4.7 ± 2.8 kg) led to a reduction in FIS and fasting glucose (+0.06 ± 0.55 mmol/l, p<0.006). ISR@5 declined in both weight losers and those with stable weight (-0.17 ± 1.9 and -0.16 ± 1.0 U/h, respectively; p<0.002 for both) but not in weight gainers (-0.06 ± 1.1 U/h). Peripheral insulin resistance, plasma NEFA and leptin accounted for only part of obesity's effect on insulin secretion. Subset analysis of fasting and clamp EGP data suggested a rightwards shift in the dose-response curve across fat mass quintiles, indicating progressive hepatic glucose overproduction despite a preserved hepatic insulin response. CONCLUSIONS/

interpretationThe effect of body mass on insulin secretion is continuous, more pronounced in men, driven by fat mass and waist, sustained by hyperglycaemia and by an upregulation of beta cell insulin secretion and is only partially explained by typical hormonal and metabolic consequences of obesity. We suggest that hepatic glucose overproduction contributes to the fasting hyperinsulinaemia observed in individuals with obesity.

Indexed as

InsulinObesityOverweightAdultBlood GlucoseBody CompositionBody Mass IndexFastingFemaleHumansInsulin ResistanceInsulin-Secreting CellsInsulin SecretionMaleMiddle AgedBlood GlucoseInsulinAdiposityBeta cell functionInsulinObesity

Identifiers

PMID41413296
PMCPMC12956986

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.