Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41416677›Full record

ArticleEpidemiology and infection2025

Epidemiological impacts and cost-effectiveness of daily and on-demand oral pre-exposure prophylaxis among key HIV populations in China: An economic evaluation.

Shu Su, Yuhang Wei, Wei Dong, Jiajun Sun, Yuxuan Li, Wendi Zhang, Qingxian Song, Zunyou Wu, Rui Zhao, Lei Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemiology and infection, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Shu SuDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Yuhang WeiChina-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Wei DongNational Center for AIDS/STD Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Jiajun SunArtificial Intelligence and Modelling in Epidemiology Program, Melbourne Sexual Health Centre, Alfred Health, Melbourne, Australia.
Yuxuan LiChina-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Wendi ZhangChina-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Qingxian SongDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Zunyou WuNational Center for AIDS/STD Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-0839-4548
Rui ZhaoShenzhen Hospital of Southern Medical University, Shenzhen, China.
Lei ZhangChina-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.ORCID 0000-0003-2343-084X

Funding

Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation 20200344National Key Research and Development Program of China 2022YFC2304900,2022YFC2505100National Natural Science Foundation of China 81950410639,82304246Natural Science Foundation of Chongqing Municipality CSTB2023NSCQ-MSX0198
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study assessed the impact and cost-effectiveness of pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) in reducing HIV infections and HIV-related deaths among four key populations in China: men who have sex with men (MSM). Female sex workers (FSW), people who inject drugs (PWID), and HIV-negative partners of serodiscordant couples (SDC). Decision-analytic Markov models simulated HIV transmission and progression in cohorts of 100,000 adults over 40 years under three strategies: no PrEP, daily oral PrEP, and on-demand oral PrEP evaluated nationaly and high-incidence provinces. Cost-effectiveness was measured using a willingness-to-pay threshold of US$37,653 per QALY. Across all populations, on-demand PrEP was the most cost-effective strategy. Among MSM, it was cost-effective both nationwide (ICER: $4,554/QALY) and in high-incidence provinces (ICER: $1,045-2,129/QALY), reducing new infections by 24.7%. Daily PrEP was also const-effective for MSM nationally and prevented 19.9% of infections. For FSW, on-demand PrEP was cost-effective in high-incidence provinces (ICER: $25,399-37,045/QALY), reducing infections by 21.8%-22.5%. For PWID, it was cost-effective in high-incidence provinces (ICER: $10,361-29,560/QALY), reducing infections by 15.5%-17.9%. For HIV-negative partners of SDC, on-demand PrEP was cost-effective both nationally and in high-incidence provinces, reducing infections by 24.0%. Overall, on-demand PrEP offers substantial health and economic benefits, particularly for HIV-negative partners of SDC and high-incidence regions.

Indexed as

Anti-HIV AgentsCost-Benefit AnalysisHIV InfectionsPre-Exposure ProphylaxisAdministration, OralAdultChinaFemaleHomosexuality, MaleHumansIncidenceMaleMarkov ChainsMiddle AgedSex WorkersAnti-HIV AgentsChina HIV eliminationcost-effectiveness analysisdaily PrEPkey populationson-demand PrEPpre-exposure prophylaxis

Identifiers

PMID41416677
PMCPMC12722553

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.