Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41462275›Full record

ArticleImmunity & ageing : I & A2025

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as a sex-specific predictor of short-term mortality in hospitalised older adults with COVID-19: a pragmatic biomarker of inflammaging in acute vulnerability.

Chiara Ceolin, Veronica Liberati, Vittorio Acunto, Margherita Vergadoro, Cristina Simonato, Sara Cazzavillan, Mario Virgilio Papa, Giulia Salerno Trapella, Bruno Micael Zanforlini, Chiara Curreri and 7 more

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Article in Immunity & ageing : I & A, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Chiara CeolinDepartment of Medicine (DIMED), University of Padua, Padua, Italy. chiara.ceolin.1@phd.unipd.it.
Veronica LiberatiGeriatrics Division, University Hospital of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Vittorio AcuntoGeriatrics Division, University Hospital of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Margherita VergadoroDepartment of Medicine (DIMED), University of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Cristina SimonatoGeriatrics Division, University Hospital of Padua, Padua, Italy. cristinasimonato.cs@gmail.com.
Sara CazzavillanGeriatrics Division, University Hospital of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Mario Virgilio PapaDepartment of Medicine (DIMED), University of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Giulia Salerno TrapellaGeriatrics Division, University Hospital of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Bruno Micael ZanforliniGeriatrics Division, University Hospital of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Chiara CurreriGeriatrics Division, University Hospital of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Anna BertoccoGeriatrics Division, University Hospital of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Giulia GaspariniGeriatrics Division, University Hospital of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Maria DevitaGeriatrics Division, University Hospital of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Alessandra CoinDepartment of Medicine (DIMED), University of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Paolo SimioniDepartment of Medicine (DIMED), University of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Giuseppe SergiDepartment of Medicine (DIMED), University of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Marina De RuiGeriatrics Division, University Hospital of Padua, Padua, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a low-cost inflammatory biomarker increasingly investigated in older populations as a cross-cutting indicator of immunosenescence and inflammaging. While elevated NLR has been shown to predict poor short-term outcomes in patients with COVID-19, its long-term prognostic role-particularly in older adults and in a sex-specific perspective-remains unclear. The aim of this study was to examine the association between admission NLR and 3.5-year all-cause mortality in older adults hospitalised with COVID-19, with a focus on sex-specific patterns.

methodsProspective observational cohort study with 3.5-year follow-up. A total of 440 patients aged ≥ 65 years hospitalized with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection were enrolled. NLR was calculated at admission and dichotomized using the optimal cut-off value (12.63) identified via maximally selected rank statistics. Associations between NLR and mortality were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for age, sex, and vaccination status. Effect modification by sex was explored through interaction terms and sex-stratified analyses.

resultsHigh NLR at hospital admission was independently associated with an increased risk of long-term all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 1.71; 95% CI: 1.21-2.43; p < 0.001). In sex-stratified analyses, this association remained significant only in females (HR 2.50; 95% CI: 1.49-4.22; p < 0.001). Sensitivity analyses revealed a significant association for mortality within 90 days of admission (HR 1.80; 95% CI: 1.15-2.81; p = 0.010), whereas no association was found for deaths occurring beyond 90 days (HR 0.83; 95% CI: 0.43-1.61; p = 0.58).

conclusionsNLR identifies a time-limited window of high vulnerability in older adults, particularly among women, reflecting the interplay between acute inflammation, immunosenescence, and processes typically associated with frailty. These findings highlight NLR as a pragmatic marker of inflammaging that could support sex-sensitive risk stratification and post-discharge interventions in geriatric care.

trial registrationNot applicable.

Indexed as

COVID-19ImmunosenescenceInflammagingMortalityNeutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratioSex differences

Identifiers

PMID41462275
PMCPMC12750965

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.