ArticleBioengineering (Basel, Switzerland)2025
PSO-BiLSTM-Attention: An Interpretable Deep Learning Model Optimized by Particle Swarm Optimization for Accurate Ischemic Heart Disease Incidence Forecasting.
Article in Bioengineering (Basel, Switzerland), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
Ischemic heart disease (IHD) remains the predominant cause of global mortality, necessitating accurate incidence forecasting for effective prevention strategies. Existing statistical models inadequately capture nonlinear epidemiological patterns, while deep learning approaches lack clinical interpretability. We constructed an interpretable predictive framework combining particle swarm optimization (PSO), bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) networks, and a novel multi-scale attention mechanism. Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database (1990-2021) were stratified across 24 sex-age subgroups and processed through 10-year sliding windows with advanced feature engineering. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) provided a three-level interpretability analysis (global, local, and component). The framework achieved superior performance metrics: mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.0164, root mean squared error (RMSE) of 0.0206, and R
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