Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41507910›Full record

SynthesisBMC public health2026

Association of frailty and mortality risk in community-dwelling older adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis of 59 international prospective cohort studies.

Yuelin Li, Hyunju Seo, Youmin Cho, Xing Fan, Lijuan Xu, Jisu Seo, Rhayun Song

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMC public health, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Yuelin LiKiang Wu Nursing College of Macau, Macau, Macau SAR.
Hyunju SeoCollege of Nursing, Chungnam National University, Daejeon, 35015, Republic of Korea.
Youmin ChoCollege of Nursing, Chungnam National University, Daejeon, 35015, Republic of Korea.
Xing FanCollege of Nursing, Chungnam National University, Daejeon, 35015, Republic of Korea.
Lijuan XuCollege of Medicine and Health, Lishui University, Lishui, China.
Jisu SeoCollege of Nursing, Chungnam National University, Daejeon, 35015, Republic of Korea.
Rhayun SongCollege of Nursing, Chungnam National University, Daejeon, 35015, Republic of Korea. songry@cnu.ac.kr.

Funding

National Research Foundation of Korea 2022R1A2C2011502
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe global aging population presents significant health challenges. This study aimed to examine the association between frailty and mortality among community-dwelling older adults.

methodsWe searched five databases up to April 29, 2025, for prospective cohort studies evaluating frailty as a predictor of mortality. Study quality and risk of bias were assessed using the ROBINS-E tool. A random-effects meta-analysis was conducted to estimate pooled mortality risks.

resultsA total of 59 studies were included in the systematic review, of which 53 were eligible for meta-analysis, comprising 185,355 participants and over 28,616 deaths. Follow-up periods ranged from 1 to 15 years. Compared to robust individuals, non-robust older adults had a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.83, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.70-1.97). This association was consistent across frailty domains: including physical frailty (HR = 1.74, 95%CI: 1.53-1.99), multidimensional frailty (HR = 2.25, 95%CI: 1.97-2.57), and phenotype-based models accessed frailty (HR = 1.71, 95%CI: 1.48-1.97). Subgroup analyses based on phenotype-based models showed that frail older adults had a higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 2.18, 95%CI: 1.72-2.75) than those who were prefrail (HR = 1.51, 95%CI: 1.37-1.67), with a significant difference across frailty levels (Q = 7.88, p < .01). Regarding cause-specific mortality, the risk of death from non-lifestyle-related diseases (e.g., dementia, cancer) (HR = 1.97, 95%CI: 1.36-2.84) was slightly higher than that from lifestyle-related diseases (e.g., cardiovascular and respiratory diseases) (HR = 1.94, 95%CI: 1.52-2.46), though the difference was not statistically significant (Q = 0.008, p > .05).

conclusionsThese findings highlight the need for comprehensive assessment and management of frailty in community-dwelling older adults. Future research and health policy should prioritize targeted strategies according to frailty severity to reduce mortality risk and improve health outcomes.

Indexed as

Frail ElderlyFrailtyIndependent LivingMortalityAgedAged, 80 and overHumansProspective StudiesRisk FactorsCommunity-dwellingFrailtyMeta-analysisMortalitySystematic review

Identifiers

PMID41507910
PMCPMC12882581

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.