ArticleBMC pulmonary medicine2026
Biological aging, a mediator between smoking and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: evidence from a hospital-based cohort study in China.
Article in BMC pulmonary medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
backgroundChronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a leading cause of global morbidity, with aging and smoking as key risk factors. However, the mediating role of biological aging in the smoking-COPD relationship has been rarely examined in Chinese populations.
methodsIn this hospital-based cohort study, 1,269 Chinese adults aged 40-84 years without COPD were enrolled. We developed Klemera-Doubal method-biological age (KDM-BA) using 11 routine clinical biomarkers. KDM-BA acceleration (KDM-BAAc) was calculated by regressing KDM-BA on chronological age (CA). Three Cox models were used to assess the association between KDM-BAAc and COPD risk. Restricted cubic spline models were used to evaluate the dose-response relationship between KDM-BAAc and COPD risk. Counterfactual mediation analysis was used to quantify BA acceleration's mediating role in smoking-COPD association.
resultsOver a mean follow-up of 3.4 years, 47 incident COPD cases occurred (incidence rate: 10.90/1000 person-years). Biological older was associated with higher COPD incidence [15.94 vs. 7.00/1,000 person-years; rate ratios (RR) = 2.28, 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) = 1.22-4.40]. Each 1-year increase in KDM-BAAc elevated COPD risk by 7% [fully adjusted hazard ratio (HR) = 1.07, 95% CI = 1.03-1.12]. Dose-response relationships were found between biological aging and COPD (fully adjusted P
conclusionAccelerated biological aging is associated with increased COPD risk and serves as a significant mediator in the smoking-COPD relationship among Chinese adults.
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