Evidence mapPaperPMID 41555157Full record

ArticleRenal failure2025

Atherogenic index of plasma and risk of acute kidney injury in critically ill patients: a multi-cohort study with machine learning and SHAP analysis.

De-Min Li, Fang Yu, Wei Xia, Meng-Han Jiang, Li-Juan Yang, Hai-Ying Yang, Sun-Jun Yin, Ping Wang, Rui Meng, Shu-Hua Cun and 4 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Renal failure, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

De-Min LiCollege of Pharmaceutical Science, Dali University, Dali, China.ORCID 0009-0001-9404-1334
Fang YuClinical Pharmacy, 920th Hospital of Joint Logistics Support Force, PLA, Kunming, China.ORCID 0000-0002-8608-9645
Wei XiaClinical Pharmacy, 920th Hospital of Joint Logistics Support Force, PLA, Kunming, China.
Meng-Han JiangCollege of Pharmaceutical Science, Dali University, Dali, China.ORCID 0009-0003-7009-8736
Li-Juan YangCollege of Pharmaceutical Science, Dali University, Dali, China.ORCID 0009-0003-9896-7702
Hai-Ying YangCollege of Pharmaceutical Science, Dali University, Dali, China.ORCID 0009-0005-2592-2188
Sun-Jun YinCollege of Pharmaceutical Science, Dali University, Dali, China.ORCID 0000-0002-2972-9132
Ping WangClinical Pharmacy, 920th Hospital of Joint Logistics Support Force, PLA, Kunming, China.
Rui MengClinical Pharmacy, 920th Hospital of Joint Logistics Support Force, PLA, Kunming, China.
Shu-Hua CunClinical Pharmacy, 920th Hospital of Joint Logistics Support Force, PLA, Kunming, China.
Han-Ni YangCollege of Pharmaceutical Science, Dali University, Dali, China.
Pei-Ni DuCollege of Pharmaceutical Science, Dali University, Dali, China.
Ying WangCollege of Pharmaceutical Science, Dali University, Dali, China.
Gong-Hao HeCollege of Pharmaceutical Science, Dali University, Dali, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Abnormal lipid metabolism poses a risk for acute kidney injury (AKI), a prevalent complication among critically ill patients. Early detection and intervention of AKI are essential; however, reliable lipid-derived predictive biomarkers remain understudied. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between the novel lipid biomarker atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) and AKI in critically ill patients and to construct an AIP-integrated early warning model to identify high-risk patients. Patient data were derived from the MIMIC-IV database (training and internal validation sets) and a local hospital cohort (external validation set). Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate the association between AIP and AKI. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) regression was utilized to explore potential nonlinear relationships. 13 machine learning algorithms were applied to develop and validate prediction models. Additionally, the Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) method enhance model interpretability. We analyzed 6,062 ICU patients from the MIMIC-IV database and 833 patients from a Chinese hospital cohort. AIP was identified as an independent risk factor for AKI in multivariable logistic regression analyses. RCS regression revealed a nonlinear association between AIP and AKI. The XGBoost + AIP model achieved superior performance with AUCs of 0.8127 (internal) and 0.7228 (external), significantly outperforming the SOFA score (AUC 0.6968). Decision curve analysis (DCA) confirmed its clinical applicability. The SHAP method provides critical validation support for the reliability of the XGBoost model. AIP serves not only as a predictive biomarker but as a metabolic phenotype, potentially enabling AI-guided precision prevention strategies in future digital twin-driven AKI care pathways.

Indexed as

Acute Kidney InjuryAtherosclerosisLipidsMachine LearningAgedBiomarkersChinaCohort StudiesCritical IllnessFemaleHumansIntensive Care UnitsLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentBiomarkersLipidsacute kidney injuryAIPCritically illexternal validationmachine learningSHAP

Identifiers

PMID41555157
PMCPMC12818314

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.