Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41564610›Full record

ArticleVaccine2026

Comparative effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of policies for provisioning rabies post-exposure vaccines.

Joel Changalucha, Elaine Ferguson, Martha M Luka, Kennedy Lushasi, Eleanor Rees, Danni Anderson, Husna Hoffu, Samweli Gwakisa, Z Mtema, Maganga Sambo and 6 more

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Vaccine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Joel ChangaluchaDepartment of Veterinary Medicine and Public Health, Sokoine University of Agriculture, Tanzania; Department of Environmental Health and Ecological Science, Ifakara Health Institute, Ifakara, Tanzania. Electronic address: jchangalucha@ihi.or.tz.
Elaine FergusonBoyd Orr Centre for Population and Ecosystem Health, School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, University of Glasgow, UK.
Martha M LukaBoyd Orr Centre for Population and Ecosystem Health, School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, University of Glasgow, UK.
Kennedy LushasiDepartment of Environmental Health and Ecological Science, Ifakara Health Institute, Ifakara, Tanzania; Boyd Orr Centre for Population and Ecosystem Health, School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, University of Glasgow, UK.
Eleanor ReesBoyd Orr Centre for Population and Ecosystem Health, School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, University of Glasgow, UK.
Danni AndersonBoyd Orr Centre for Population and Ecosystem Health, School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, University of Glasgow, UK.
Husna HoffuDepartment of Environmental Health and Ecological Science, Ifakara Health Institute, Ifakara, Tanzania.
Samweli GwakisaMinistry of Health, Tanzania.
Z MtemaDepartment of Environmental Health and Ecological Science, Ifakara Health Institute, Ifakara, Tanzania.
Maganga SamboDepartment of Environmental Health and Ecological Science, Ifakara Health Institute, Ifakara, Tanzania.
Kimera SharadhuriDepartment of Veterinary Medicine and Public Health, Sokoine University of Agriculture, Tanzania.
Lwitiko SikanaDepartment of Environmental Health and Ecological Science, Ifakara Health Institute, Ifakara, Tanzania.
Athumani LupinduDepartment of Veterinary Medicine and Public Health, Sokoine University of Agriculture, Tanzania.
Jonathan YoderPaul G. Allen School for Global Health, Washington State University, USA.
Felix LankesterPaul G. Allen School for Global Health, Washington State University, USA; Global Animal Health Tanzania, Tanzania.
Katie HampsonBoyd Orr Centre for Population and Ecosystem Health, School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, University of Glasgow, UK. Electronic address: katie.hampson@glasgow.ac.uk.

Funding

Eliminating human rabies: impact of enhanced vaccination coverageR01AI141712 · NIAID · WASHINGTON STATE UNIVERSITY · PI LANKESTER, FELIX · 2019 to 2023
$2.3M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI141712
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe burden of rabies remains high in low-income countries, where limited access to life-saving post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) leads to preventable deaths. Lack of evidence on the implications of PEP provisioning strategies impedes policy development. We evaluate three PEP strategies under consideration in Tanzania, comparing current limited access, improved access with free provision, and free provision combined with Integrated Bite Case Management (IBCM).

methodsWe examined data from IBCM implementation on PEP delivery practices, healthcare-seeking, and rabies risk across four Tanzanian regions. Using these data within a decision tree model, we evaluate health outcomes and economic impacts of proposed PEP policies from the healthcare provider perspective, projecting vaccine requirements, costs, and deaths across Tanzania over a five-year period (2026-2030).

resultsWe project approximately 59,000 (95 % PI: 32,000-96,000) rabies exposures nationwide over five years. With this exposure risk, current PEP access leads to around 800 deaths annually (95 % PI: 400-1200). Improved PEP access increases patients starting PEP, driving vaccine requirements to around 24,000 (95 % CI: 14,000-34,000) vials per year and reducing deaths by >40 %. Introducing IBCM reduces total projected deaths over 2026-2030 from 2300 to 2000 while remaining highly cost-effective at $181 per death averted.

conclusionTanzania's current PEP practice fails to meet the demand for rabies prevention, leading to preventable deaths. Free PEP is a more effective alternative, and implementing IBCM would further strengthen the country's rabies response and accelerate progress toward the target to end human rabies deaths by 2030.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisHealth PolicyPost-Exposure ProphylaxisRabiesRabies VaccinesAnimalsCost-Effectiveness AnalysisDogsHumansTanzaniaRabies VaccinesDog-mediated rabiesGaviIBCMIntegrated bite case managementLyssavirusOne healthZero by 30

Identifiers

PMID41564610
PMCPMC13201362

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.