Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41615369›Full record

Observational studyInvestigative ophthalmology & visual science2026

Baseline Nonperfusion and Deep Capillary Plexus Ischemia Predict Two-Year Retinal Nonperfusion Progression in Diabetic Retinopathy.

Anna M Busza, Shinji Kakihara, Kallista Zhuang, Taffeta C Yamaguchi, Elizabeth Pearce, Amani A Fawzi

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Investigative ophthalmology & visual science, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Anna M BuszaDepartment of Ophthalmology, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois, United States.
Shinji KakiharaDepartment of Ophthalmology, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois, United States.
Kallista ZhuangDepartment of Ophthalmology, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois, United States.
Taffeta C YamaguchiBoehringer Ingelheim International GmbH, Ingelheim am Rhein, RP, Germany.
Elizabeth PearceUniversity College London, London, United Kingdom.
Amani A FawziDepartment of Ophthalmology, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois, United States.

Funding

Cellular-level Vascular Oculomics (CVO) for monitoring systemic vascular healthOT2OD038128 · OD · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI Stephen A Burns, Amani A Fawzi · 2024 to 2026
$4.8M
Monitoring the hemodynamic response to therapy in diabetic retinopathyR01EY031815 · NEI · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI FAWZI, AMANI A · 2020 to 2023
$1.9M
NEI NIH HHS R01 EY031815NIH HHS OT2 OD038128
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to determine which baseline factors, including ultra-widefield fluorescein angiography (UWF-FA) nonperfusion and macular optical coherence tomography angiography (OCTA) metrics, predict 2-year progression of retinal nonperfusion on UWF-FA in diabetic retinopathy (DR). Methods: This prospective observational study included 73 patients (110 eyes) with diabetes across the spectrum of DR severity, followed for 2 years. Retinal nonperfusion was manually quantified as ischemic index, and progression was calculated as the 2-year minus baseline ischemic index for gradable retina. For receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses, progression was further defined as a binary event when the 2-year ischemic index increase exceeded two standard deviations (SDs) above the mean progression observed in non-referable DR. Linear mixed-effects models evaluated baseline predictors, and ROC analyses assessed the discriminative performance of significant predictors. Results: Mean 2-year ischemic index progression was 0.45 ± 0.90%, with greater progression in moderate and severe nonproliferative DR than in non-referable DR. In multivariate models, greater baseline ischemic index (standardized β = 0.27, P = 0.002), higher deep capillary plexus (DCP) geometric perfusion deficit (β = 0.36, P = 0.006), and lower DCP vessel density (β = -0.22, P = 0.012) independently predicted total nonperfusion progression. Baseline ischemic index, DCP geometric perfusion deficit, and DCP vessel density yielded areas under the curve of 0.84, 0.77, and 0.70, respectively, for detecting binary nonperfusion progression. Conclusions: In this cohort, baseline UWF-FA nonperfusion was the strongest predictor of retinal nonperfusion progression, whereas macular DCP OCTA metrics provided independent, noninvasive prognostic information. Macular DCP OCTA parameters may serve as adjunctive biomarkers to refine DR risk stratification, particularly when UWF-FA is unavailable.

Indexed as

Diabetic RetinopathyIschemiaRetinal VesselsAgedCapillariesDisease ProgressionFemaleFluorescein AngiographyFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesROC CurveTomography, Optical Coherence

Identifiers

PMID41615369
PMCPMC12859726

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.