Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41626040›Full record

ArticleHRB open research2025

Predictors of Recent Incidence Trends in Sexually Transmitted Infections: A Systematic Review Protocol.

Santiago Garcia Guerrero, Robbie Lawlor, Ashling Bourke, John P Gilmore, Caroline Kelleher, Maria Lohan, Nicola O'Connell, Kate O'Donnell, Rikke Siersbaek, Giovanni Villa and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in HRB open research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Santiago Garcia GuerreroSchool of Psychology, University of Galway, Galway, County Galway, Ireland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5819-1805
Robbie LawlorSchool of Psychology, University of Galway, Galway, County Galway, Ireland.
Ashling BourkeSchool of Human Development, Dublin City University, Dublin, Leinster, Ireland.
John P GilmoreSchool of Nursing Midwifery and Health Systems, University College Dublin, Dublin, Leinster, Ireland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3943-0724
Caroline KelleherSchool Of Population Health, Department of Health Psychology, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Dublin, Leinster, Ireland.
Maria LohanSchool of Nursing and Midwifery, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, Northern Ireland, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3525-1283
Nicola O'ConnellSexual Health Programme, Health Service Executive, County Dublin, County Dublin, Ireland.
Kate O'DonnellSchool of Medicine, Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Leinster, Ireland.
Rikke SiersbaekHealth Protection Surveillance Centre, Dublin, Co. Dublin, Ireland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3223-1420
Giovanni VillaDepartment of Genitourinary Medicine and Infectious Diseases, St James's Hospital, Dublin, Leinster, Ireland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6747-9851
Chris NooneSchool of Psychology, University of Galway, Galway, County Galway, Ireland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4974-9066

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Introduction: Sexually transmitted infections (STIs) are a major global health concern, with millions of new cases occurring annually, particularly among young adults. These infections can lead to serious health complications, including infertility and increased risk of HIV, and are compounded by social stigma and mental health challenges. There have been significant global increases in STI diagnoses in recent years. The objective of this systematic review is to synthesise evidence on the predictors of trends in gonorrhoea, chlamydia, syphilis, and HIV over the last ten years. We aim to provide insight into the multifaceted drivers of the recent increasing STI diagnosis rates. Methods: We have developed a comprehensive search strategy that includes searching for relevant published literature and grey literature. We will include studies that contain evidence of longitudinal associations between changes in the incidence of diagnoses of four targeted STIs (i.e., gonorrhoea, chlamydia, syphilis, and HIV) during the last ten years. In addition, we will explore changes in sociodemographic and behavioural variables during the same time among representative samples of national populations. We will conduct a narrative analysis of the included studies. Discussion: The proposed synthesis plan is part of a larger research project that has been designed in response to the priorities of sexual health policymakers in Ireland. It will provide useful information regarding recent international trends in diagnoses of gonorrhoea, chlamydia, syphilis, and HIV, which will inform further efforts to understand the recent increases in STI diagnoses in Ireland. We acknowledge that it will be limited by publication bias, the biases affecting the included studies, a potential lack of data on important sub-populations, and restrictions related to testing availability across countries. Ultimately, trends in STI diagnoses are best understood through the design of comprehensive behavioural surveillance systems, which this review may usefully inform.

Indexed as

sexually transmitted infections; gonorrhoea; chlamydia; syphilis; HIV

Identifiers

PMID41626040
PMCPMC12859410

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.