Evidence mapPaperPMID 41629650Full record

ArticleArchives of osteoporosis2026

Epidemiology of hip fractures in Costa Rica and development of country- specific thresholds to estimate fracture risk.

S Cerdas Perez, Griselda-Adriana Cruz-Priego, Patricia Clark, Adolfo Ortiz-Barboza, H Johansson, J A Kanis

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Article in Archives of osteoporosis, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. On the development and application of country-specific FRAX models in Latin America.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2026
    Article
  2. Comparison of country-specific FRAX models throughout Latin America: lessons from Costa Rica and Ecuador.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

S Cerdas PerezDepartment of Endocrinology, Hospital Cima San José, Universidad de Costa Rica, San José, Costa Rica.ORCID 0000-0003-2530-4169
Griselda-Adriana Cruz-PriegoClinical Epidemiology Research Unit, Hospital Infantil de Mexico "Federico Gomez", Mexico City, Mexico.ORCID 0009-0002-9467-4702
Patricia ClarkClinical Epidemiology Research Unit, Hospital Infantil de Mexico "Federico Gomez", Mexico City, Mexico. clark@unam.mx.
Adolfo Ortiz-BarbozaUniversity of Costa Rica, San José, Costa Rica.ORCID 0000-0001-8423-1268
H JohanssonCentre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Beech Hill Road, S10 2RX, Sheffield, UK.
J A KanisCentre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Beech Hill Road, S10 2RX, Sheffield, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A country-specific FRAX® model for Costa Rica was developed using national hip fracture data from 2015-2019. Hip fracture incidence increased with age, was consistently higher in women, and exceeded rates reported in neighboring Latin American countries. Costa Rica also demonstrated higher 10-year major osteoporotic fracture probabilities at older ages compared with regional FRAX® models. An estimated 3,176 hip fractures occurred in 2020, with projections indicating an increase to 9,946 cases by 2050. These findings underscore the growing burden of hip fractures in Costa Rica and the need for targeted prevention strategies.

objectiveTo describe the epidemiology of hip fractures in Costa Rica and to develop a country-specific FRAX® model calibrated with national fracture and mortality data.

methodsAll hip fractures (ICD-10 S72.0, S72.1, S72.2) recorded in the Caja Costarricense de Seguro Social registry from 2015-2019 were included. Age- and sex-specific incidence rates were combined with United Nations mortality data to construct a Costa Rica-specific FRAX® model. Ten-year fracture probabilities were estimated and compared with those from other Latin American countries with calibrated FRAX® models. National projections for hip fracture burden in 2020 and 2050 were derived using United Nations population forecasts. Age-specific FRAX® assessment and intervention thresholds were developed following established international methodology.

resultsHip fracture incidence increased with age and was consistently higher in women than in men. Compared with other Latin American countries, Costa Rica demonstrated higher age-specific hip fracture rates and higher 10-year major osteoporotic fracture probabilities at older ages. An estimated 3,176 hip fractures occurred in adults aged ≥ 50 years in 2020, with a projected increase to 9,946 by 2050. Age-specific FRAX® threshold curves showed widening separation with advancing age, reflecting increasing fracture probability in older age groups.

conclusionCosta Rica exhibits a comparatively high burden of hip fractures and fracture risk, which is expected to rise substantially with population aging. The newly developed Costa Rica-specific FRAX® model provides an essential tool for improving fracture risk assessment and guiding evidence-based osteoporosis management in clinical practice.

Indexed as

Hip FracturesOsteoporotic FracturesAdultAgedAged, 80 and overCosta RicaFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsCosta RicaFracture riskFragility fractureFRAX®Hip fractureOsteoporosis

Identifiers

PMID41629650
PMCPMC12864282

What Socratic holds

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.