ArticleJAMA network open2026
Estimated Effectiveness of 2024-2025 COVID-19 Vaccination Against Severe COVID-19.
Article in JAMA network open, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed.
- Payers should cover COVID-19 vaccines for all ages and risk groups with no patient cost sharing.Journal of managed care & specialty pharmacy · 2026Article
- Dysnatremia and Endocrine Alterations in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients: Markers of Systemic Stress Rather than Independent Predictors of Outcomes.Biomedicines · 2026Article
- The Combination of Nirmatrelvir and Ivermectin Exerts Strongly Synergistic Antiviral and Anti-Inflammatory Effects Against Murine Coronavirus Infection of Macrophages.International journal of molecular sciences · 2026Article
- Optimizing COVID-19 vaccination for older adults: superior efficacy of heterologous regimens in reducing infection and mortality rates among patients aged 80 years and older during the Omicron BA.5/BF.7 outbreak.BMC infectious diseases · 2026Article
- Interim Estimated Effectiveness of 2025-2026 COVID-19 Vaccines in Adults Using a Test-Negative Design.JAMA network open · 2026Article
- Respiratory Virus Activity - United States, July 1, 2024-June 30, 2025.MMWR. Morbidity and mortality weekly report · 2026Article
- Persistent excess mortality in post-pandemic Japan: current evidence, methodological limitations, and future directions.Frontiers in public health · 2026Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
51 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Importance: As SARS-CoV-2 JN.1 lineage descendants continue to evolve, evaluating COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (VE) against severe COVID-19 remains important to guide vaccination strategies. Objective: To estimate the VE of the 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccines against COVID-19-associated hospitalization and severe in-hospital outcomes overall and by time since dose (7-89, 90-179, and ≥180 days), JN.1 descendant lineage (KP.3.1.1, XEC, LP.8.1), and spike protein mutations associated with immune evasion. Design, Setting, and Participants: This multicenter, test-negative, case-control study conducted by the Investigating Respiratory Viruses in the Acutely Ill Network included adult patients (aged ≥18 years) hospitalized between September 1, 2024, and April 30, 2025, at 26 hospitals in 20 US states. Case patients presented with COVID-19-like illness and positive SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid or antigen test results; control patients had COVID-19-like illness but tested negative for SARS-CoV-2. Exposure: Receipt of a 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine at least 7 days before illness onset. Main Outcomes and Measures: Main outcomes were COVID-19-associated hospitalization and severe in-hospital outcomes (supplemental oxygen therapy, acute respiratory failure, intensive care unit admission, and invasive mechanical ventilation or death). Logistic regression was used to estimate the odds of vaccination in case and control patients, adjusting for demographics, clinical characteristics, and enrollment region. The VE was estimated as (1 - adjusted odds ratio) × 100%. Results: A total of 8493 patients (median [IQR] age, 66 [54-76] years; 4338 female [51.1%]), including 1888 case patients with COVID-19 (among whom 951 [50.4%] had successful whole-genome sequencing, including 348 [36.6%] with KP.3.1.1, 218 [22.9%] with XEC, and 134 [14.1%] with LP.8.1 infections) and 6605 control patients were enrolled. Vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19-associated hospitalization was 40% (95% CI, 27%-51%), and protection was sustained through 90 to 179 days after vaccination. Vaccine effectiveness was higher against the most severe outcome of invasive mechanical ventilation or death at 79% (95% CI, 55%-92%). It was 49% (95% CI, 25%-67%) against hospitalization with KP.3.1.1, 34% (95% CI, 4%-56%) against XEC, and 24% (95% CI, -19% to 53%) against LP.8.1, with increasing median time since dose receipt among vaccinated case patients due to sequential circulation patterns (60, 89, and 141 days, respectively). The VE was similar against lineages with spike protein S31 deletion (41% [95% CI, 22%-56%]) and T22N and F59S substitutions (37% [95% CI, 9%-57%]). Conclusions and Relevance: In this multicenter, case-control analysis of VE, 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccines may have provided protection against hospitalizations and severe in-hospital outcomes as multiple JN.1 descendant lineages circulated. Monitoring COVID-19 VE, including stratifying by SARS-CoV-2 lineage and spike protein mutations, remains important to guide COVID-19 vaccine composition and recommendations.
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What Socratic holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.