Evidence mapPaperPMID 41637482Full record

ArticlePloS one2026

Investigation of spillover effects of a sugar-sweetened beverage tax on beverage purchasing in a nearby, non-taxed area: A quasi-experimental, difference-in-differences analysis.

Leah R Neff Warner, Melissa A Knox, Amanda M Fretts, Brian E Saelens, Jessica C Jones-Smith

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Leah R Neff WarnerDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8816-7398
Melissa A KnoxDepartment of Economics, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
Amanda M FrettsDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
Brian E SaelensCenter for Child Health, Behavior, and Development, Seattle Children's Research Institute, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
Jessica C Jones-SmithDepartment of Health Systems and Population Health, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Evidence suggests that sugar-sweetened beverage (SSB) taxes reduce SSB purchasing and improve health outcomes in the taxed area. The extent to which purchasing also changes in nearby communities due to tax signaling effects is unclear. The objective of this study was to assess whether the SSB tax in Seattle, Washington, USA, influenced SSB purchasing in nearby communities within the same media market. We used retail scanner data on weekly sales of 3,531 beverages from 127 retailers in King County excluding Seattle and its bordering area (KC), and 243 retailers in a matched comparison area outside the regional media market. Matching was done via Mahalanobis distance based on pre-tax, county-level demographic measures from the American Community Survey. We estimated linear difference-in-differences in mean volume sold of taxed and nontaxed beverages comparing two years before (2016-2017) and after tax implementation (2018-2019) adjusting for beverage-level fixed effects. We also estimated the difference-in-differences in Seattle versus a matched comparison to estimate the tax effect in Seattle as context for potential effects in KC. For taxed beverages, the mean difference-in-differences in volume sold in KC was 172 liters (95% CI: -1,396, 1,740; P = 0.83), reflecting a 1% change from pre-tax levels in KC for a given beverage. There was suggestive evidence of increased volume sold for taxed and nontaxed soda, and taxed multipack beverages in KC relative to the comparison area. In Seattle, the mean difference-in-differences in volume sold for taxed beverages was -3,628 liters (95% CI: -4,622, -2,634; P < 0.001), reflecting a 20% decline for a given beverage in association with the tax. We did not find evidence of spillover effects in the form of reduced volume sold of SSB in communities near but not bordering the tax in Seattle. Studies in other contexts are needed to investigate spillover on purchasing as well as possible explanations for observed increases in purchases of taxed and nontaxed soda.

Indexed as

CommerceConsumer BehaviorSugar-Sweetened BeveragesTaxesBeveragesHumansWashington

Identifiers

PMID41637482
PMCPMC12872015

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.