Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41639853›Full record

ArticleCardiovascular diabetology2026

Association of various insulin resistance surrogate indices with aging acceleration and future risk of cardiovascular disease in individuals with cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic syndrome stages 0-3: insights from CHARLS 2011-2020 data.

Shu-Shu Han, Qin Liu, Zhi-Ming Zeng, Ying Li, Ping-Wei Li, Fang-Xiao Cheng, Pian Zhong, Jiang-Bo Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cardiovascular diabetology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Shu-Shu Han *Department of Nutrition, Fuwai Shenzhen Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, No. 12, Langshan Road, Xili Street, Nanshan District, Shenzhen, China.
Qin Liu *Department of Nasopharyngeal Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China.
Zhi-Ming Zeng *Institute of Medical Technology, Peking University Health Science Center, Beijing, China.
Ying LiDepartment of Endocrinology, Fuwai Shenzhen Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, No. 12, Langshan Road, Xili Street, Nanshan District, Shenzhen, China.
Ping-Wei LiDepartment of Endocrinology, Fuwai Shenzhen Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, No. 12, Langshan Road, Xili Street, Nanshan District, Shenzhen, China.
Fang-Xiao ChengInstitute of Medical Technology, Peking University Health Science Center, Beijing, China.
Pian ZhongDepartment of Endocrinology, Fuwai Shenzhen Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, No. 12, Langshan Road, Xili Street, Nanshan District, Shenzhen, China. zhongpian@163.com.
Jiang-Bo LiDepartment of Nutrition, Fuwai Shenzhen Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, No. 12, Langshan Road, Xili Street, Nanshan District, Shenzhen, China. 472116547@qq.com.

Funding

Youth Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China 62201015
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome imposes a substantial global health burden, with most adults clustered in early stages 0-3. Insulin resistance (IR), as a core manifestation of metabolic dysfunction, is thought to play a pivotal role in CKM progression and cardiovascular disease (CVD) development, but the relative impact of diverse IR surrogates and the mediating role of biological ageing acceleration remain unclear.

methodThis prospective analysis included 6318 participants with CKM syndrome stages 0-3 from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). We evaluated twelve insulin resistance surrogates in relation to incident CVD using multivariable-adjusted logistic regression, restricted cubic splines (RCS), and quantile-based models. Mediation analyses assessed whether biological aging acceleration mediated the association between IR indices and new-onset CVD.

results1231 (19.5%) of 6318 participants with CKM stages 0-3 developed new-onset CVD. All IR surrogates demonstrated significant associations with CVD risk, with elevated TyG-derived indices, METS-IR, CTI, and TG/HDL-C showing positive associations whereas eGDR exhibited an inverse relationship (all P-trend < 0.05). RCS analyses revealed nonlinear relationships for METS-IR, CTI, and eGDR. Significant modification effects were observed by biological ageing acceleration, gender, and CKM stage. Mediation analyses indicated that biological aging acceleration accounted for 14.9-16.4% of the TyG-ABSI-CVD association and 1.3-4.2% of other IR-CVD relationships.

conclusionsMultiple IR surrogate indices independently predict cardiovascular disease in CKM stages 0-3, with biological aging acceleration mediating this association. Integrating these measures into risk stratification could enable early identification and targeted intervention for high-risk individuals.

Indexed as

AgingBlood GlucoseCardio-Renal SyndromeCardiovascular DiseasesInsulin ResistanceMetabolic SyndromeAgedAge FactorsBiomarkersChinaFemaleHumansIncidenceLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedBiomarkersBlood GlucoseAging accelerationCardiovascular diseaseCardiovascular-kidney-metabolic syndromeInsulin resistance

Identifiers

PMID41639853
PMCPMC12964732

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.