Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41650134›Full record

ArticlePloS one2026

Data-driven predictive modeling for massive intraoperative blood loss during living donor liver transplantation: Integrating machine learning techniques.

Taiichi Wakiya, Yukihiro Sanada, Noriki Okada, Yuta Hirata, Toshio Horiuchi, Takahiko Omameuda, Yasuharu Onishi, Yasunaru Sakuma, Hironori Yamaguchi, Yoshihiro Sasaki and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Taiichi WakiyaDivision of Gastroenterological, General and Transplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, Jichi Medical University, Shimotsuke, Tochigi, Japan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3681-7736
Yukihiro SanadaDivision of Gastroenterological, General and Transplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, Jichi Medical University, Shimotsuke, Tochigi, Japan.
Noriki OkadaDivision of Gastroenterological, General and Transplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, Jichi Medical University, Shimotsuke, Tochigi, Japan.
Yuta HirataDivision of Gastroenterological, General and Transplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, Jichi Medical University, Shimotsuke, Tochigi, Japan.
Toshio HoriuchiDivision of Gastroenterological, General and Transplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, Jichi Medical University, Shimotsuke, Tochigi, Japan.
Takahiko OmameudaDivision of Gastroenterological, General and Transplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, Jichi Medical University, Shimotsuke, Tochigi, Japan.
Yasuharu OnishiDivision of Gastroenterological, General and Transplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, Jichi Medical University, Shimotsuke, Tochigi, Japan.
Yasunaru SakumaDivision of Gastroenterological, General and Transplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, Jichi Medical University, Shimotsuke, Tochigi, Japan.
Hironori YamaguchiDivision of Gastroenterological, General and Transplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, Jichi Medical University, Shimotsuke, Tochigi, Japan.
Yoshihiro SasakiDepartment of Medical Informatics, Hirosaki University Hospital, Hirosaki, Aomori, Japan.
Naohiro SataDivision of Gastroenterological, General and Transplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, Jichi Medical University, Shimotsuke, Tochigi, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMassive intraoperative bleeding (IBL) in liver transplantation (LT) poses serious risks and strains healthcare resources necessitating better predictive models for risk stratification. As traditional models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear patterns underlying bleeding risk, this study aimed to develop data-driven machine learning models for predicting massive IBL during living donor LT (LDLT) using preoperative factors.

methodsTwo hundred ninety consecutive LDLT cases from a prospective database were analyzed. Logistic regression models were built using 73 preoperative demographic and laboratory variables to predict massive IBL (≥ 80 mL/kg). The dataset was randomly split (70% training, 30% testing). The model was trained and validated through three-fold cross-validation, with backward stepwise feature selection iterated 100 times across unique random splits. The final model, based on a high stability index, was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC).

resultsMassive IBL was observed in 141 patients (48.6%). In standard logistic regression, significant differences were found in 42 of 73 factors between groups stratified by massive IBL, however, substantial multicollinearity limited interpretability. In the feature selection across 100 iterations, the data-driven model achieved an average AUC of 0.840 in the validation and 0.738 in the test datasets. The final model, based on 11 selected features with a high stability index, achieved an AUC of 0.844. An easy-to-use online risk calculator for massive IBL was developed and is available at: https://tai1wakiya.shinyapps.io/ldlt_bleeding_ml/.

conclusionsOur findings highlight the potential of machine learning in capturing complex risk factor interactions for predicting massive IBL in LDLT.

Indexed as

Blood Loss, SurgicalLiver TransplantationLiving DonorsMachine LearningAdultClassification AlgorithmsFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedPrediction AlgorithmsPredictive Learning ModelsRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID41650134
PMCPMC12880697

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.