Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41662456›Full record

Trial reportCirculation2026

Incidence, Risk Factors, and Outcomes in Stressor-Associated Atrial Fibrillation: Insights From the VITAL-AF Trial.

Julian S Haimovich, Shinwan Kany, Yuchiao Chang, Leila H Borowsky, David D McManus, Steven J Atlas, Daniel E Singer, Steven A Lubitz, Patrick T Ellinor, Shaan Khurshid

Abstract readRandomized Controlled TrialPragmatic Clinical TrialMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Trial report in Circulation, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Julian S HaimovichCardiovascular Disease Initiative, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA (J.S.H., S. Kany, S.A.L., P.T.E., S. Khurshid).ORCID 0000-0003-4346-6241
Shinwan KanyCardiovascular Disease Initiative, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA (J.S.H., S. Kany, S.A.L., P.T.E., S. Khurshid).ORCID 0000-0001-8113-733X
Yuchiao ChangDivision of General Internal Medicine, Mass General Brigham, Boston, MA (Y.C., L.H.B., S.J.A., D.E.S.).ORCID 0000-0003-1093-3755
Leila H BorowskyDivision of General Internal Medicine, Mass General Brigham, Boston, MA (Y.C., L.H.B., S.J.A., D.E.S.).ORCID 0000-0001-7498-4450
David D McManusDepartment of Medicine, University of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester (Y.C., D.D.M.).ORCID 0000-0002-9343-6203
Steven J AtlasDivision of General Internal Medicine, Mass General Brigham, Boston, MA (Y.C., L.H.B., S.J.A., D.E.S.).ORCID 0000-0002-2297-9614
Daniel E SingerDivision of General Internal Medicine, Mass General Brigham, Boston, MA (Y.C., L.H.B., S.J.A., D.E.S.).ORCID 0000-0001-6145-4848
Steven A LubitzCardiovascular Disease Initiative, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA (J.S.H., S. Kany, S.A.L., P.T.E., S. Khurshid).ORCID 0000-0002-9599-4866
Patrick T EllinorCardiovascular Disease Initiative, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA (J.S.H., S. Kany, S.A.L., P.T.E., S. Khurshid).ORCID 0000-0002-2067-0533
Shaan KhurshidCardiovascular Disease Initiative, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA (J.S.H., S. Kany, S.A.L., P.T.E., S. Khurshid).ORCID 0000-0002-2840-4539

Funding

The Center for Advancing Point of Care in Heart, Lung, Blood and Sleep DiseasesU54HL143541 · NHLBI · UNIV OF MASSACHUSETTS MED SCH WORCESTER · PI BRYAN O BUCHHOLZ, Nathaniel Scott Hafer · 2018 to 2026
$141.0M
IDENTIFICATION OF COMMON GENETIC VARIANTS FOR ATRIAL FIBRILLATION AND PR INTERVALR01HL092577 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI BENJAMIN, EMELIA J., ELLINOR, PATRICK THOMAS · 2009 to 2025
$20.6M
MULTIDISCIPLINARY RESEARCH TRAINING IN CARDIOLOGYT32HL007208 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI Patrick Thomas Ellinor, David E Sosnovik · 1985 to 2026
$16.1M
SUPPORT-AF IVR01HL155343 · NHLBI · UNIV OF MASSACHUSETTS MED SCH WORCESTER · PI KAPOOR, ALOK, MCMANUS, DAVID D. · 2021 to 2025
$3.4M
Using Electrocardiogram Genetics to Inform Arrhythmia RiskR01HL157635 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI ELLINOR, PATRICK THOMAS, MIRSHAHI, TOORAJ · 2022 to 2025
$2.9M
IMPACT: Integrative Mindfulness-Based Predictive Approach for Chronic low back pain TreatmentUG3NS135168 · NINDS · WORCESTER POLYTECHNIC INSTITUTE · PI AGU, EMMANUEL, KING, JEAN A · 2023 to 2023
$1.6M
From genetic basis to mechanisms for Heart FailureR01HL177209 · NHLBI · BROAD INSTITUTE, INC. · PI Patrick Thomas Ellinor, Ling Xiao · 2025 to 2026
$1.6M
Electrocardiogram-based deep learning and decision analysis to improve atrial fibrillation risk estimationK23HL169839 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI Shaan Khurshid · 2023 to 2026
$860k
American Heart Association-American Stroke Association 23CDA1050571NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL169839NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL092577NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL155343NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL157635NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL177209NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL007208NHLBI NIH HHS U54 HL143541NINDS NIH HHS UG3 NS135168
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundStressor-associated atrial fibrillation (AF), defined as newly diagnosed AF in the setting of a reversible physiological stressor, is common. However, risk factors, outcomes, and current management practices remain poorly understood.

methodsWe analyzed data from VITAL-AF, a pragmatic, cluster-randomized AF screening trial conducted in 2018 and 2019 comprising adults ≥65 years of age across 16 primary care practices affiliated with Massachusetts General Hospital. All participants had longitudinal follow-up for adjudicated incident AF (including whether stressor-associated versus nonstressor-associated ["primary"]) and clinical outcomes. We compared associations between clinical AF risk factors and incident AF group (stressor-associated versus primary) using Fine-Gray models handling death and each AF group as competing risks. We also quantified oral anticoagulant initiation rates after AF diagnosis. We then fit Cox proportional hazards models to quantify associations between incident AF group (as a time-varying covariate) and a composite end point of major bleeding, stroke, and all-cause mortality, with adjustment for CHA₂DS₂-VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age >74, diabetes, stroke or transient ischemic attack or thromboembolism, vascular disease, age 65-74, sex category; stroke) and ATRIA (Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in Atrial Fibrillation; bleeding) scores and time-varying oral anticoagulant exposure.

resultsWe analyzed 30 265 patients (41% men, 83% White, and mean age 74 years). Of 988 incident AF events, 290 (29%) were stressor associated. Clinical risk factors, including age, hypertension, and heart failure, showed similar associations with both primary and stressor-associated AF. Oral anticoagulant initiation within 90 days of new AF diagnosis was lower for stressor-associated versus primary AF (56% versus 75%,

conclusionsAmong >30 000 primary care patients with adjudicated AF events, nearly one-third of incident AF cases were stressor associated. Despite similar risk factor profiles and comparably high rates of adverse outcomes, oral anticoagulant initiation is lower when AF is stressor associated. Future work is needed to define optimal approaches to prevention, surveillance, and management of stressor-associated AF.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationStress, PhysiologicalAgedAged, 80 and overAnticoagulantsFemaleHemorrhageHumansIncidenceMaleRisk FactorsAnticoagulantsatrial fibrillationpreventionrandomized trialsrisk factors

Identifiers

PMID41662456
PMCPMC13004267

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.