Evidence mapPaperPMID 41698977Full record

Trial reportScientific reports2026

Prognostic significance of heart rate trajectories on organ failure in predicted severe acute pancreatitis: secondary analysis of a randomized trial.

Mingfeng Huang, Genwang Wang, Zixiong Zhang, Yufeng Zhou, Wenjian Mao, Rong Wei, Zongwen Zhang, Hong Lin, Cheng Lv, Lin Gao and 4 more

Abstract readRandomized Controlled TrialMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Trial report in Scientific reports, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Mingfeng Huang *Department of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, No. 305 Zhongshan East Road, Nanjing, 21000, Jiangsu Province, China.
Genwang Wang *Department of Health Service, Nanjing Jinling Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China.
Zixiong Zhang *Department of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, No. 305 Zhongshan East Road, Nanjing, 21000, Jiangsu Province, China.
Yufeng ZhouJiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Critical Care Medicine, Department of Critical Care Medicine, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, 210009, Jiangsu, China.
Wenjian MaoDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, No. 305 Zhongshan East Road, Nanjing, 21000, Jiangsu Province, China.
Rong WeiJinling Clinical Medical College, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.
Zongwen ZhangDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, No. 305 Zhongshan East Road, Nanjing, 21000, Jiangsu Province, China.
Hong LinSchool of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, 210009, China.
Cheng LvDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, No. 305 Zhongshan East Road, Nanjing, 21000, Jiangsu Province, China.
Lin GaoDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, No. 305 Zhongshan East Road, Nanjing, 21000, Jiangsu Province, China.
Yuxiu LiuDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, No. 305 Zhongshan East Road, Nanjing, 21000, Jiangsu Province, China.
Bo YeDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, No. 305 Zhongshan East Road, Nanjing, 21000, Jiangsu Province, China. bobmaster819@126.com.
Lu KeDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, No. 305 Zhongshan East Road, Nanjing, 21000, Jiangsu Province, China. ctgkelu@nju.edu.cn.
Weiqin LiDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, No. 305 Zhongshan East Road, Nanjing, 21000, Jiangsu Province, China. ctgchina@medbit.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Elevated heart rate is associated with poor clinical outcomes across various patient populations, including acute pancreatitis. This study aimed to assess whether trajectories of daily highest heart rate during the acute phase were associated with prolonged organ failure in patients with predicted severe acute pancreatitis (pSAP). This was a secondary analysis of data from a multicenter, randomized, controlled trial that assessed the effects of different crystalloids in patients with pSAP. Based on the daily highest heart rate trajectories over the first five days, patients were categorized into two groups: persistent high (PH) and transient high (TH). The primary outcome was the presence of organ failure or death on day 7. The association between different heart rate trajectories and the primary outcome was modeled with selected confounders (age, gender, BMI, etiologies, and the presence of necrosis at admission). The Multivariable Cox regression model was used to evaluate the association between heart rate trajectories and time to alive and full organ failure resolution. Overall, 183 patients were included in the analysis, of whom 41 (22.4%) were categorized in the PH group and 142 (77.6%) in the TH group. The incidence of organ failure or death on day 7 in the PH group was more than twice as high as that in the TH group (56.1% vs. 23.0%; p < 0.001). After adjustment, the results remained significant (odds ratio 3.85; 95% CIs 1.70–8.99; p = 0.001). Compared to the TH group, patients in the PH group also had a lower cumulative probability of alive and full organ failure resolution within 7 days of enrollment (hazard ratio 0.33; 95% CIs 0.14–0.77; log-rank p = 0.004). Persistent elevated heart rate during the acute phase is associated with more prolonged organ failure in patients with pSAP, indicating that early heart rate control may be a potential therapeutic strategy to improve clinical outcomes.

Indexed as

Heart RateMultiple Organ FailurePancreatitisAcute DiseaseAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisSecondary Data AnalysisAcute pancreatitisHeart rateOrgan failureTrajectory

Identifiers

PMID41698977
PMCPMC13000188

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.