Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41711728›Full record

ArticleESC heart failure2026

Non-invasive cardiovascular magnetic resonance pulmonary capillary wedge pressure predicts future atrial fibrillation: a LOOP substudy.

Maria Kalaitzoglou, Litten Bertelsen, Bradley Chambers, Gareth Matthews, Panagiotis Tsiverdis, Raluca Tomoaia, Thomas Anderton, Søren Zöga Diederichsen, Jesper Hastrup Svendsen, Pankaj Garg and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in ESC heart failure, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Maria KalaitzoglouLeeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Litten BertelsenDepartment of Cardiology, Copenhagen University Hospital-Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0001-7852-6537
Bradley ChambersLeeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Gareth MatthewsNorwich Medical School, University of East Anglia, Norwich Research Park, Rosalind Franklin Road, Norwich Research Park, Norwich NR4 7UQ, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8353-4806
Panagiotis TsiverdisLeeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Raluca TomoaiaLeeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Thomas AndertonLeeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Søren Zöga DiederichsenDepartment of Cardiology, Copenhagen University Hospital-Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Jesper Hastrup SvendsenDepartment of Cardiology, Copenhagen University Hospital-Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0001-8466-8515
Pankaj GargNorwich Medical School, University of East Anglia, Norwich Research Park, Rosalind Franklin Road, Norwich Research Park, Norwich NR4 7UQ, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-5483-169X
Peter P SwobodaLeeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-7162-7079

Funding

BHF FS/CRA22/23034National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Clinical Lectureship CL-2022-15-002Wellcome Trust 220703/Z/20/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionElevated pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (PCWP) is known to drive atrial fibrillation (AF). However, it remains unknown if non-invasive cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR)-derived PCWP could predict the future risk of AF. This study investigated whether a CMR-derived measure of PCWP could predict future AF.

methodsWe enrolled 202 participants (mean age 76.2 ± 4.2 years) from the LOOP study, each receiving implantable loop recorder for continuous rhythm monitoring over 4 years. Cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging quantified left atrial volume (LAV) and left ventricular mass, allowing calculation of a validated sex-specific equation derived PCWP. Cox proportional hazards analysis identified independent variables associated with incident AF.

resultsEighty-six participants (42.6%) manifested AF during follow-up. Individuals with AF exhibited significantly higher CMR-PCWP (16.1 ± 2.8 vs 14.7 ± 2.3 mmHg, P < .01) and greater LAV. Univariate regression highlighted that PCWP ≥16 mmHg was significantly associated with incident AF [hazard ratio (HR): 2.73]. Stepwise Cox regression confirmed that PCWP ≥16 mmHg and the CHARGE-AF score remained independently associated with AF, with PCWP conveying higher HR (2.88, P < .001). Kaplan-Meier analysis reinforced the importance of this threshold for AF onset, demonstrating a significantly increased probability of arrhythmia over time and emphasizing its decisive clinical impact.

conclusionElevated CMR-PCWP is associated with AF in older, high-stroke-risk individuals, underscoring the role of subclinical diastolic dysfunction in promoting arrhythmogenesis. Incorporating non-invasive PCWP assessment into routine CMR evaluation may enhance risk stratification, allowing prompt identification of at-risk patients and enabling earlier, precise, targeted measures for AF prevention.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationHeart AtriaMagnetic Resonance Imaging, CinePulmonary Wedge PressureAgedFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansIncidenceMalePredictive Value of TestsPrognosisRisk FactorsAtrial fibrillationFollow-up studiesHumansMagnetic resonance imagingPulmonary capillary wedge pressureRisk assessment

Identifiers

PMID41711728
PMCPMC13108288

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.