Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41712959›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental microbiology2026

Warming Causes a Decline in Baltic Sea Coastal Sediment Microbial Abundance.

Laura Seidel, Songjun Li, Shahinez Hanna-Elias, Iryna Rula, Louise Ahlberg, Anders Forsman, Samuel Hylander, Marcelo Ketzer, Mark Dopson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental microbiology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Laura SeidelCentre for Ecology and Evolution in Microbial Model Systems (EEMiS), Linnaeus University, Kalmar, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2620-914X
Songjun LiCentre for Ecology and Evolution in Microbial Model Systems (EEMiS), Linnaeus University, Kalmar, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0008-4816-2451
Shahinez Hanna-EliasCentre for Ecology and Evolution in Microbial Model Systems (EEMiS), Linnaeus University, Kalmar, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0007-7894-7287
Iryna RulaCentre for Ecology and Evolution in Microbial Model Systems (EEMiS), Linnaeus University, Kalmar, Sweden.
Louise AhlbergCentre for Ecology and Evolution in Microbial Model Systems (EEMiS), Linnaeus University, Kalmar, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0006-8777-8588
Anders ForsmanCentre for Ecology and Evolution in Microbial Model Systems (EEMiS), Linnaeus University, Kalmar, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-7618
Samuel HylanderCentre for Ecology and Evolution in Microbial Model Systems (EEMiS), Linnaeus University, Kalmar, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3740-5998
Marcelo KetzerBiology and Environmental Sciences, Linnaeus University, Kalmar, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4796-8177
Mark DopsonCentre for Ecology and Evolution in Microbial Model Systems (EEMiS), Linnaeus University, Kalmar, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9622-3318

Funding

Knut and Alice Wallenberg FoundationScience for Life LaboratorySvenska Forskningsrådet Formas FR-2020/01338Svenska Forskningsrådet Formas FR-2022-01016Swedish Research Council 2018-05973Swedish Research Council 2022-06725Uppsala Multidisciplinary Center for Advanced Computational ScienceVetenskapsrådet 2020-03519
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Long-term ocean warming impacts the marine environment, and these effects will be exacerbated by future climate change affecting, e.g., biogeochemical processes and microbial communities. However, how the sediment microbial cell abundance and live/dead ratio respond to warming is poorly understood. In this study, sediment core samples were collected from a Baltic Sea bay artificially heated on average 5°C for > 50 years above a nearby (control) bay unaffected by the heating. Contrary to the expected increased productivity in the heated bay, qPCR-based sediment cell abundances showed decreased cell numbers along the sediment depth gradient in the heated bay compared to the control bay. This could reflect that a portion of the cells' metabolic energy was diverted to a heat related stress response rather than being used for replication. In addition, live/dead cell ratios showed no clear differences in either bay suggesting the majority of the cells were alive. Finally, sediment depth gradient 16S rRNA gene sequencing confirmed previous studies, showing that prolonged warming shallows sediment biogeochemical zones and related microbial communities. In conclusion, future climate change related warming will likely decrease microbial cell abundances that form part of the food web base, potentially impacting the entire ecosystem.

Indexed as

BacteriaGeologic SedimentsSeawaterBaysClimate ChangeOceans and SeasRNA, Ribosomal, 16SRNA, Ribosomal, 16S16S rRNA genebrackishlive/deadmethanepropidium monoazideqPCR

Identifiers

PMID41712959
PMCPMC12920023

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.