Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41714746›Full record

ArticleNature medicine2026

Predicting onset of symptomatic Alzheimer's disease with plasma p-tau217 clocks.

Kellen K Petersen, Marta Milà-Alomà, Yan Li, Lianlian Du, Chengjie Xiong, Duygu Tosun, Benjamin Saef, Ziad S Saad, Lei Du-Cuny, Janaky Coomaraswamy and 22 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Exploring longitudinal relationships among Alzheimer's disease biomarkers.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2026
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Considerations in Alzheimer's Disease in Women.Current neurology and neuroscience reports · 2026
    Review
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. A lifespan staging model of basal forebrain cholinergic vulnerability.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2026
    Review
  18. Article
  19. Predicting Preclinical Cognitive Decline Using Plasma P-tau217 andmedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

32 authors.

Kellen K PetersenDepartment of Neurology, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3195-3456
Marta Milà-AlomàNorthern California Institute for Research and Education, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Yan LiDepartment of Neurology, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1340-6694
Lianlian DuWisconsin Alzheimer's Institute, University of Wisconsin-Madison School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1662-0883
Chengjie XiongKnight Alzheimer Disease Research Center, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Duygu TosunNorthern California Institute for Research and Education, San Francisco, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8644-7724
Benjamin SaefDepartment of Neurology, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Ziad S SaadPrecision Measures, Johnson & Johnson, San Diego, CA, USA.
Lei Du-CunyAbbVie Deutschland GmbH & Co. KG, Ludwigshafen am Rhein, Germany.
Janaky CoomaraswamyTakeda Pharmaceutical Company Ltd., Cambridge, MA, USA.
Yulia MordashovaAbbVie Deutschland GmbH & Co. KG, Ludwigshafen am Rhein, Germany.
Carrie E RubelBiogen, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Emily A MeyersAlzheimer's Association, Chicago, IL, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0886-6218
Leslie M ShawDepartment of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Jeffrey L DageDepartment of Neurology, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2192-1699
Nicholas J AshtonInstitute of Neuroscience and Physiology, Department of Psychiatry and Neurochemistry, The Sahlgrenska Academy at University of Gothenburg, Mölndal, Sweden.
Henrik ZetterbergInstitute of Neuroscience and Physiology, Department of Psychiatry and Neurochemistry, The Sahlgrenska Academy at University of Gothenburg, Mölndal, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3930-4354
Kyle FerberBiogen, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Gallen Triana-BaltzerPrecision Measures, Johnson & Johnson, San Diego, CA, USA.
Michael BarattaTakeda Pharmaceutical Company Ltd., Cambridge, MA, USA.
Erin G RosenbaughFoundation for the National Institutes of Health, North Bethesda, MD, USA.
Carlos CruchagaKnight Alzheimer Disease Research Center, St. Louis, MO, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0276-2899
Eric McDadeDepartment of Neurology, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6764-3866
David M HoltzmanDepartment of Neurology, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3400-0856
John C MorrisDepartment of Neurology, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA.
J Martin SabandalFoundation for the National Institutes of Health, North Bethesda, MD, USA.
Randall J BatemanDepartment of Neurology, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7729-1702
Anthony W BannonAbbVie, North Chicago, IL, USA.
William Z Potter
Suzanne E SchindlerDepartment of Neurology, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA. schindlers@neuro.wustl.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1680-1465
Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI)
Foundation for the National Institutes of Health (FNIH) Biomarkers Consortium Plasma Aβ and Phosphorylated Tau as Predictors of Amyloid and Tau Positivity in Alzheimer’s Disease Project Team

Funding

Smartphone-Based "Burst" Cognitive AssessmentsP01AG003991 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI JOHN MORRIS · 1985 to 2026
$69.5M
The natural history of AB accumulation in preclinical ADP01AG026276 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI MORRIS, JOHN · 2005 to 2025
$49.5M
Research Education ComponentP30AG066444 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI Susan Lynn Stark · 2020 to 2026
$28.7M
Cross Sectional and Longitudinal Racial Disparity in Molecular Biomarkers of Alzheimer DiseaseR01AG067505 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI XIONG, CHENGJIE · 2020 to 2024
$14.7M
Staging Alzheimer disease with blood-based biomarkersR01AG070941 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI SCHINDLER, SUZANNE ELIZABETH · 2021 to 2025
$4.3M
Proteomic characterization of aging cerebellumR01AG025350 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF KANSAS LAWRENCE · PI SCHONEICH, CHRISTIAN · 2004 to 2008
$1.4M
NIA NIH HHS P01 AG003991NIA NIH HHS P01 AG026276NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066444NIA NIH HHS R01 AG025350NIA NIH HHS R01 AG067505U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | National Institute on Aging (U.S. National Institute on Aging) P01AG003991U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | National Institute on Aging (U.S. National Institute on Aging) P01AG026276U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | National Institute on Aging (U.S. National Institute on Aging) P30AG066444U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | National Institute on Aging (U.S. National Institute on Aging) R01AG067505U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | National Institute on Aging (U.S. National Institute on Aging) R01AG070941U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | National Institute on Aging (U.S. National Institute on Aging) RF1R01AG053550
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Predicting not just if, but also when, cognitively unimpaired individuals are likely to develop onset of Alzheimer's disease (AD) symptoms would be useful to clinical trials and, eventually, clinical practice. Although clock models based on amyloid and tau positron emission tomography have shown promise in predicting the onset of AD symptoms, a model based on plasma biomarkers would be more accessible. Using longitudinal plasma %p-tau217 (the ratio of phosphorylated to non-phosphorylated tau at position 217) from two independent cohorts (n = 258 and n = 345), clock models were used to estimate the age at plasma %p-tau217 positivity. The estimated age at plasma %p-tau217 positivity was associated with the age at onset of AD symptoms (adjusted R

Indexed as

Alzheimer Diseasetau ProteinsAgedAged, 80 and overAge of OnsetAmyloid beta-PeptidesBiomarkersFemaleHumansMalePhosphorylationPositron-Emission TomographyAmyloid beta-PeptidesBiomarkerstau Proteins

Identifiers

PMID41714746
PMCPMC13004683

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.