SynthesisCardiovascular diabetology2026
Comparative efficacy of tirzepatide and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists on cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and network meta-analysis.
Synthesis in Cardiovascular diabetology, 2026. The graph read 7 numbers from its abstract, feeding 3 cells of the map: it supports the treatment in 3. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
In the agent-level analysis, tirzepatide reduced MACE compared to placebo (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.70-0.94) and lixisenatide (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.65-0.97).
In the class-level analysis, tirzepatide significantly reduced MACE (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.69-0.91), CV mortality (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.66-0.90), all-cause mortality (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.65-0.83), non-fatal MI (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.61-0.97), and non-fatal stroke (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.64-0.97) compared to placebo.
In the class-level analysis, tirzepatide significantly reduced MACE (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.69-0.91), CV mortality (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.66-0.90), all-cause mortality (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.65-0.83), non-fatal MI (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.61-0.97), and non-fatal stroke (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.64-0.97) compared to placebo.
In the class-level analysis, tirzepatide significantly reduced MACE (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.69-0.91), CV mortality (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.66-0.90), all-cause mortality (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.65-0.83), non-fatal MI (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.61-0.97), and non-fatal stroke (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.64-0.97) compared to placebo.
In the class-level analysis, tirzepatide significantly reduced MACE (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.69-0.91), CV mortality (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.66-0.90), all-cause mortality (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.65-0.83), non-fatal MI (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.61-0.97), and non-fatal stroke (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.64-0.97) compared to placebo.
In the agent-level analysis, tirzepatide reduced MACE compared to placebo (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.70-0.94) and lixisenatide (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.65-0.97).
In the class-level analysis, tirzepatide significantly reduced MACE (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.69-0.91), CV mortality (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.66-0.90), all-cause mortality (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.65-0.83), non-fatal MI (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.61-0.97), and non-fatal stroke (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.64-0.97) compared to placebo.
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Where it lands on the map
Rows are treatments, columns are outcomes. The coloured squares are the cells this paper feeds, coloured by the vote it casts there. Click one to jump to what this paper adds to it.
What it adds to each cell
For every cell the paper feeds: the belief in the claim with and without this paper, and this paper's estimate drawn against every other readable study in the cell. The ringed dot is this paper.
GIP/GLP-1 & amylin agonists×all-cause mortality
SupportsOpen on the map →What to test next →2 readable studies in this cell: 1 favour the treatment, 1 find no difference, 0 favour the comparator.
This paper's own estimate is on a different scale from the rest of the cell, so it is not drawn here.
GIP/GLP-1 & amylin agonists×cardiovascular events
SupportsOpen on the map →What to test next →2 readable studies in this cell: 2 favour the treatment, 0 find no difference, 0 favour the comparator.
This paper's own estimate is on a different scale from the rest of the cell, so it is not drawn here.
GLP-1 receptor agonists×cardiovascular events
SupportsOpen on the map →What to test next →13 readable studies in this cell: 7 favour the treatment, 2 find no difference, 4 favour the comparator.
This paper's own estimate is on a different scale from the rest of the cell, so it is not drawn here.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Cardiovascular Outcomes With Tirzepatide Versus GLP-1 Receptor Agonists in Overweight or Obesity: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Diabetes, obesity & metabolism · 2026 · on this mapPooled it
- Real-World vs. Randomized Trial Evidence for Incretin-Based Therapies: A Narrative Review.Journal of diabetes · 2026Review
- Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The marked sentences are the ones the graph read a number from.
backgroundGlucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) are widely used therapies for cardiovascular risk reduction in type 2 diabetes (T2D). With the emergence of the SURPASS-CVOT trial, tirzepatide (a dual GIP/GLP-1 receptor agonist) has entered the therapeutic landscape; however, its comparative effect on cardiovascular outcomes compared to placebo and individual GLP-1RAs remains undefined.
methodsWe conducted a systematic review and frequentist network meta-analysis (NMA) of RCTs enrolling adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) or high cardiovascular (CV) risk. Eligible RCTs evaluated tirzepatide or GLP-1RAs and reported major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), CV mortality, all-cause mortality, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI) or non-fatal stroke. A class-level NMA was conducted to estimate the incremental benefit of tirzepatide and GLP-1RAs over placebo, and an agent-level NMA was conducted to explore differences between tirzepatide and individual GLP-1RA agents. Subgroup analyses, including established cardiovascular disease populations, and leave-one-out sensitivity analyses were performed.
resultsEleven trials met inclusion criteria (10 GLP-1RA trials and 1 tirzepatide trial [SURPASS-CVOT]). In the class-level analysis, tirzepatide significantly reduced MACE (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.69-0.91), CV mortality (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.66-0.90), all-cause mortality (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.65-0.83), non-fatal MI (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.61-0.97), and non-fatal stroke (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.64-0.97) compared to placebo. Formal statistical comparisons between tirzepatide and the GLP-1RA class could not be performed within the constraints of the NMA; however, point estimates across outcomes numerically favored tirzepatide compared with placebo. In the agent-level analysis, tirzepatide reduced MACE compared to placebo (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.70-0.94) and lixisenatide (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.65-0.97). Subgroup and sensitivity analyses did not substantially change point estimates.
conclusionAmong adults with T2D and established ASCVD or high CV risk, class-level analysis demonstrated that tirzepatide significantly reduced the risk of cardiovascular events compared to placebo; at the agent-level, tirzepatide demonstrated comparable efficacy to individual GLP-1RAs. These findings suggest that tirzepatide provides cardiovascular benefit at least comparable to established GLP-1RAs, supporting its emerging role in cardiovascular risk reduction in T2D.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.