Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41810148›Full record

ArticleMilitary Medical Research2025

Target trial emulation in oncology: current use and future directions.

Hui-Yao Huang, Le Wang, Sheng Xu, Shuo-Peng Jia, Dan-Dan Kong, Xue-Jing Zhang, Si-Qi Wang, Han-Qing He, Hao-Ran Chen, Lu-Zhu Xia and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Military Medical Research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Hui-Yao Huang *Clinical Trials Center, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100021 China.
Le Wang *Department of Cancer Prevention, Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou Institute of Medicine (HIM), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou, 310022 China.
Sheng XuGlobal Statistics and Data Science, BeiGene, Shanghai, 200001 China.
Shuo-Peng JiaClinical Trials Center, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100021 China.
Dan-Dan KongSchool of Statistics, Renmin University of China, Beijing, 100872 China.
Xue-Jing ZhangClinical Trials Center, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100021 China.
Si-Qi WangClinical Trials Center, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100021 China.
Han-Qing HeClinical Trials Center, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100021 China.
Hao-Ran ChenSchool of Public Health, Qingdao University, Qingdao, 266071 Shandong China.
Lu-Zhu XiaMinzu University of China, Beijing, 100081 China.
Lan-Wei GuoDepartment of Clinical Research Management, the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University & Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, 450008 China.
Yu TangClinical Trials Center, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100021 China.
Ling-Bin DuDepartment of Cancer Prevention, Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou Institute of Medicine (HIM), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou, 310022 China.
Ning LiClinical Trials Center, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100021 China.ORCID 0000-0002-3945-2536

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Target trial emulation (TTE) has demonstrated popularity because of its ability to improve the reliability of causal inference from observational data. Nevertheless, knowledge about the current use, potential challenges, and insights of target trials in oncology is scarce. A total of 90 TTE studies in cancer areas were identified through systematic reviews in PubMed and Embase. Among the 54 applications in cancer treatment, registry databases (44.4%) and overall survival (OS, 63.0%) were predominantly used as data sources and primary endpoints, respectively. Approximately 30 (55.6%) of the included TTE cases were associated with immortal time bias, and 21 (38.9%) were associated with prevalent user bias. Among the 21 trials from 13 studies that aimed to calibrate the results from preexisting randomized controlled trials (RCTs), only 42.9% met both statistical agreement and estimate agreement. The availability of fit-for-purpose data sources and uncertainty about result concordance were the main hurdles limiting the quantity and quality of TTE in oncology areas. Promoting regulatory acceptance by initiating special projects could be crucial for the expanded application of real-world data (RWD) using TTE. Potential solutions, such as the integration of electronic medical records at the regional or country level, linkage with insurance claims databases, the modernization of eligibility criteria, the use of OS as the primary endpoint, and other best practices, were recommended for improving the feasibility and quality of oncology TTE. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40779-026-00685-9.

Indexed as

Clinical Trials as TopicMedical OncologyResearch DesignHumansNeoplasmsBiasOncologyReal-world databaseTarget trial emulation (TTE)

Identifiers

PMID41810148
PMCPMC12930863

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.