Evidence mapPaperPMID 41820977Full record

ArticleBMC cardiovascular disorders2026

The association between modified cardiometabolic index and cardiovascular disease risk in adults with early cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic syndrome: a prospective cohort study.

Hongcai Wang, Kaixuan Li, Chang Sheng, Xin Ye, Guoqiang Lin

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Article in BMC cardiovascular disorders, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

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1citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

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1 citing paper in PubMed.

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Hongcai Wang *Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, 410000, Hunan, China.
Kaixuan Li *Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, 410000, Hunan, China.
Chang ShengDepartment of Vascular Surgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, 410000, Hunan, China.
Xin YeDepartment of Cardiovascular Surgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, 410000, Hunan, China.
Guoqiang LinDepartment of Cardiovascular Surgery, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, 410000, Hunan, China. 403906@csu.edu.cn.

Funding

Hunan Provincical Natural Science Foundation of China 2025JJ60803
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic (CKM) syndrome highlights the interconnections between cardiovascular disease (CVD), chronic kidney disease (CKD), and type 2 diabetes (DM). The modified Cardiometabolic Index (MCMI), which integrates measures of insulin resistance, abdominal obesity, dyslipidemia, and blood glucose, may better reflect metabolic and cardiovascular risk than the original index. However, its association with cardiovascular and cerebrovascular disease risk in individuals with early CKM syndrome (stages 0–3) remains unclear.

methodsThis longitudinal study utilized data from 6,953 participants in stages 0–3 of CKM syndrome from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). The MCMI was calculated at baseline. Participants were followed for a median of 7.8 years to track the incidence of cardiovascular disease, heart disease, and stroke. Cox proportional hazards models were employed to analyze the association between MCMI levels and the risk of these outcomes, adjusting for various sociodemographic, lifestyle, and clinical factors.

resultsDuring follow-up, 1,534 participants developed CVD. Higher MCMI levels were significantly associated with increased risks of overall CVD and stroke. In fully adjusted models, each unit increase in MCMI was associated with a 21% and 47% higher risk of CVD and stroke, respectively. Participants in the highest MCMI quartile had a 55% higher risk of CVD and a 2.55-fold higher risk of stroke compared to the lowest quartile. The association with heart disease was weaker and became non-significant after full adjustment. Dose-response analyses revealed nonlinear relationships for CVD and stroke. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of these findings.

conclusionMCMI is independently associated with an increased risk of overall CVD and stroke in individuals with early-stage CKM syndrome; its association with heart disease is weak, with statistical significance only observed in the highest MCMI quartile and partially attenuated by adjustment for traditional metabolic and cardiovascular risk factors. MCMI serves as a practical indicator for cardiovascular risk stratification, offering a valuable tool for early prevention and management of CVD and stroke in the preclinical phases of CKM syndrome.

Indexed as

Blood GlucoseCardio-Renal SyndromeCardiovascular DiseasesMetabolic SyndromeAgedBiomarkersCardiometabolic Risk FactorsChinaDyslipidemiasFemaleHumansIncidenceInsulin ResistanceLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedBiomarkersBlood Glucosecardiovascular diseasecardiovascular-kidney-metabolic syndromeCHARLSModified cardiometabolic index

Identifiers

PMID41820977
PMCPMC13097706

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.