ArticleRadiation oncology (London, England)2026
A time-adapted risk stratification framework guided by longitudinal post-radiotherapy EBV DNA clearance for high-risk nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients.
Article in Radiation oncology (London, England), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
0 citing papers in PubMed.
No citing paper in PubMed yet.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
Abstract
purposePatients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) exhibiting persistent EBV DNA positivity throughout treatment (a “D-D-D” trajectory) represent a high-risk group with undefined management strategies. This study aimed to define critical post-radiotherapy timepoints to establish a precision surveillance strategy for these patients.
methodsIn a longitudinal cohort of non-metastatic “D-D-D” NPC patients, plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA was quantified at 1.5, 3, 6, 9, and 12 months post-radiotherapy. A time-dependent Cox model was employed to evaluate the dynamic prognostic value of EBV DNA status. Model performance was rigorously compared using Harrell’s C-index, the Akaike information criterion, and net reclassification improvement. Classification metrics, including sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values, were analyzed to identify clinically actionable decision points.
resultsAmong 295 patients, early clearance by 1.5 months (10.5% of the cohort) conferred favorable survival, comparable to the “D-D-U” subgroup from our previous analysis. The 12-month EBV DNA status emerged as the strongest independent predictor of disease progression (adjusted HR = 2.804, 95% CI: 2.273–3.460, P < 0.001), offering high specificity (98.6%) but delayed intervention. In contrast, the 1.5-month timepoint, while highly sensitive (95.0%), generated an unactionable alert rate (89.0%). The 3-month assessment optimally balanced these parameters, maintaining substantial sensitivity (76.7%) within a clinically actionable alert rate (65.5%).
conclusionsWe propose a time-adapted risk stratification framework wherein the 3-month assessment identifies patients for intensified surveillance, while persistent EBV DNA at 12 months identifies a population at high risk of progression. The clinical benefit of timepoint-guided interventions warrants prospective randomized investigation. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: Not applicable
Indexed as
Identifiers
What Socratic holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.