ArticleBJOG : an international journal of obstetrics and gynaecology2026
Age at Menopause and Trajectories of Multimorbidity Progression to Mortality: A Multi-State Analysis of UK Biobank Data.
Article in BJOG : an international journal of obstetrics and gynaecology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
objectiveTo investigate whether age at menopause is associated with the trajectory of multimorbidity progression.
designA retrospective cohort study.
settingThe UK Biobank. POPULATION: 121 017 postmenopausal women aged 40-69 years with complete baseline and menopausal data.
methodsCox proportional hazards models were used to explore the associations between menopausal age and both multimorbidity and mortality. Multi-state models were further employed to evaluate the association of menopausal age with transitions from a health state to the first chronic disease (FCD), to multimorbidity, and to mortality from each state.
main outcome measuresMultimorbidity (defined as ≥ 2 of 35 chronic conditions) and mortality.
resultsOver a median follow-up period of 8.6 years, 86 821 women developed the FCD, 42237 multimorbidity, and 10 527 participants died. In the multi-state models analysis, from health to FCD, compared with women who experienced menopause after age 50 years, the risks increased by 32%, 14%, and 3% among women with premature, early, and relatively early menopause, respectively (HR = 1.32, 95% CI: 1.28-1.36; HR = 1.14, 95% CI: 1.11-1.17; HR = 1.03, 95% CI: 1.01-1.05). Similarly, for the transition from FCD to multimorbidity, the risks increased by 22% (HR = 1.22, 95% CI: 1.17-1.27), 13% (HR = 1.13, 95% CI: 1.09-1.16), and 6% (HR = 1.06, 95% CI: 1.03-1.08), respectively.
conclusionsEarlier menopause was associated with an increased risk of multimorbidity and mortality, mainly affecting two trajectories, from health to FCD and FCD to multimorbidity.
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