Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41936613›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2026

Mortality attributable to youth drinking in 194 WHO member countries/territories, 1990-2021.

Dan Tian, Jie Li, David C Schwebel, Cifu Xie, Tongyan Wang, Ruisha Peng, Li Li, Peixia Cheng, Zhenzhen Rao, Peishan Ning and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Dan TianDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha , Hunan Province, 410013, China.
Jie LiDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha , Hunan Province, 410013, China.
David C SchwebelOffice of the Vice President for Research, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, USA.
Cifu XieChangsha Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Changsha, China.
Tongyan WangDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha , Hunan Province, 410013, China.
Ruisha PengYiyang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Yiyang, China.
Li LiDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha , Hunan Province, 410013, China.
Peixia ChengBeijing Key Laboratory of Environment and Aging, Laboratory for Gene- Environment and Reproductive Health, Laboratory for Clinical Medicine, Department of Maternal and Child Health, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Zhenzhen RaoDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha , Hunan Province, 410013, China.
Peishan NingDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha , Hunan Province, 410013, China. ningpeishan@csu.edu.cn.
Guoqing HuDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha , Hunan Province, 410013, China. huguoqing009@gmail.com.

Funding

the National Natural Science Foundation of China grant number: 82103950
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Youth drinking is known to be a leading and avoidable risk factor of mortality. However, recent evidence on mortality attributable to youth drinking on a global scale is limited. Using risk-attributable mortality data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, we conducted a longitudinal analysis to examine trends in deaths and mortality attributable to youth drinking among individuals under 20 years across 194 WHO member countries/territories from 1990 to 2021. Mortality differences were assessed by sex, socio-demographic index (SDI) levels, and countries/territories. Average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) estimated by Joinpoint regression were used to quantify significant mortality changes. A total of 417,198 deaths attributable to youth drinking were reported from 1990 to 2021, primarily from transport injuries (36.1%) and interpersonal violence (17.7%). The number of total deaths attributable to youth drinking declined from 13,346 in 1990 to 10,563 in 2021 (AAPC = -0.73%, 95% CI: -0.77% to -0.68%). Mortality among males was 5.8-7.5 times that of females. Large mortality decreases occurred over time in countries/territories with high (AAPC=-2.71%, 95% CI: -2.78% to -2.67%) and high-middle SDI (AAPC=-2.06%, 95% CI: -2.26%% to -1.87%%), while those with lower SDI levels showed relatively stable or slightly increasing mortality trends. The percent change in mortality varied greatly across the 194 WHO countries/territories from 1990 to 2021, ranging from - 96.8% (Seychelles) to 772.8% (Libya). Increases occurred in 30.4% of countries (59/194), all in low or middle SDI levels. Despite a substantial decline in mortality, therefore, youth drinking remains a global health challenge that disproportionally affect males and young adults in countries with low or middle SDI levels. Implementation of actions outlined in the WHO Global Alcohol Action Plan 2022-2030 should be accelerated and enhanced, especially in those countries with high attributable mortality rates as well as those experiencing large increases in mortality during between 1990 and 2021.

Indexed as

Underage DrinkingAdolescentFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMortalityRisk FactorsWorld Health OrganizationYoung AdultBurden of diseaseHealth disparitiesYouth drinking

Identifiers

PMID41936613
PMCPMC13216624

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.