Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41938214›Full record

ArticleEvolution letters2026

Environmental predictability drives different routes to adaptation.

Anna C Vinton, Ben Ibbott, Jinlin Chen, Samuel J L Gascoigne, Dominique Baptiste, Tim Coulson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Evolution letters, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Anna C VintonDepartment of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Ben IbbottDepartment of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Jinlin ChenDepartment of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Samuel J L GascoigneDepartment of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Dominique BaptisteDepartment of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Tim CoulsonDepartment of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change is altering thermal environments, yet we know little about how environmental predictability shapes species' adaptive responses. Different species may rely on plasticity or evolution to survive environmental change, but how these strategies depend on environmental predictability remains unclear. Experimental evidence that distinguishes between plastic and evolutionary responses to different patterns of environmental variability has been lacking. Here, we present the first experimental demonstration that compares adaptive responses to predictable versus unpredictable thermal variation, disentangling plastic from evolutionary changes. Using

Indexed as

Drosophila melanogasterenvironmental predictabilitylife-history evolutionphenotypic plasticitytemperature variationthermal adaptation

Identifiers

PMID41938214
PMCPMC13043901

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.