Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41944219›Full record

ArticleAddiction (Abingdon, England)2026

Which personality traits are necessary conditions for problematic alcohol use? Insights from a 23-year longitudinal study.

Angela Giugovaz, Peter Prinzie, Miranda C Lutz, Ingmar H A Franken, Igor Marchetti

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Addiction (Abingdon, England), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Angela GiugovazDepartment of Life Sciences, University of Trieste, Trieste, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0001-5236-9841
Peter PrinzieFaculty of Psychology and Educational Sciences, Department of Developmental, Personality and Social Psychology, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.
Miranda C LutzCenter for Substance use and Addiction Research, Department of Psychology, Education and Child Studies, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Ingmar H A FrankenCenter for Substance use and Addiction Research, Department of Psychology, Education and Child Studies, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7853-2694
Igor MarchettiDepartment of Health Sciences, University of Florence, Florence, Italy.

Funding

European Union - Next Generation EU J53D23007960006European Union - Next Generation EU J53D23017140001Fonds Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek G0DCB23N
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsPersonality traits have been consistently linked to alcohol use. High neuroticism and extraversion and low agreeableness and conscientiousness are known risk factors for both alcohol use frequency and problematic use across the lifespan. These associations have mostly been studied in the sufficient causality domain ("if X, then probably Y"), whereas little is known about these relationships in the necessary causality one ("if not X, then not Y"). Knowing that a variable is a necessary cause for an outcome helps identify who will be at risk for the outcome and who will be virtually immune. The aim of this study was to test whether personality traits in childhood, adolescence and emerging adulthood might serve as necessary conditions for problematic alcohol use in adulthood.

designThe study is part of the "Flemish Study on Parenting, Personality, and Development", and it is a 23-year longitudinal study across four time points [childhood (T1), adolescence (T2), emerging adulthood (T3), adulthood (T4)].

settingFlanders (Belgium).

participantsAt T1, the total sample consisted of 306 participants (age = 7.8 ± 1.13 years, and 59.15% females), at T2 of 289 participants (age = 15.78 ± 1.16 years, 59.86% females), at T3 of 290 participants (age = 21.78 ± 1.15 years, 59.66% females) and at T4 of 306 participants (age = 30.08 ± 1.13 years, 59.15% females). MEASUREMENTS: Personality traits were assessed in childhood, adolescence and emerging adulthood using the Hierarchical Personality Inventory for Children (HiPIC) and were related to problematic alcohol use, measured through the Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test (AUDIT), in adulthood. Necessary Condition Analysis (NCA) was used to test whether specific traits were necessary for the outcome, and to what extent.

findingsConscientiousness emerged as a developmentally stable necessary condition for problematic alcohol use in adulthood (childhood: d = 0.31, P = 0.050; adolescence: d = 0.33, P = 0.052; emerging adulthood: d = 0.33, P = 0.023; all large effects). No other personality traits reached statistical significance.

conclusionsIt is possible to identify, already in childhood and through the lifespan, personality characteristics that distinguish individuals vulnerable to developing problematic alcohol use in adulthood from those who are not. Specifically, lower levels of conscientiousness appear to be necessary to be at risk of potentially developing problematic alcohol use in adulthood, whereas high levels of conscientiousness appear to lead to virtual immunity.

Indexed as

Alcohol DrinkingAlcoholismPersonalityAdolescentBelgiumChildFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleRisk FactorsYoung Adultconscientiousnesslongitudinalnecessary causalitynecessary condition analysispersonality traitspreventionproblematic alcohol use

Identifiers

PMID41944219
PMCPMC13291086

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.