Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41992144›Full record

ArticleBMC neurology2026

The association between ambulatory blood pressure monitoring and 90-day ischemic stroke following transient ischemic attack in hypertensive patients: a retrospective cohort study.

Bo Wang, Yunpeng Zhang, Xueying Wang, Yan Wang, Runzhou Pan, Hui Lu

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Article in BMC neurology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Bo WangThe Fourth Department of Cerebrovascular Disease, Cangzhou Central Hospital, Cangzhou, Hebei, China.
Yunpeng ZhangDepartment of Neurology, Affiliated Hospital of Chengde Medical University, Chengde, Hebei, China.
Xueying WangDepartment of Neurology, Cangzhou People's Hospital, Cangzhou, Hebei, China.
Yan WangThe Fourth Department of Cerebrovascular Disease, Cangzhou Central Hospital, Cangzhou, Hebei, China.
Runzhou PanDepartment of Endocrinology, Cangzhou Central Hospital, Cangzhou, Hebei, China.
Hui LuDepartment of Neurology, Aerospace Center Hospital, No.15 Yuquan Road, Haidian District, Beijing, China. luhui19880919@163.com.

Funding

2022 Annual Cangzhou City Science and Technology Plan Self-funded Project 222106085
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIschemic stroke (IS) is a major public health challenge. Transient ischemic attack (TIA) serves as a critical warning sign, particularly in hypertensive patients where early risk stratification remains difficult. While ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) parameters strongly associated with cerebrovascular events, their predictive value for post-TIA stroke in hypertension is unclear. This study evaluated ABPM parameters for predicting 90-day acute IS risk in hypertensive TIA patients.

methodsThis single-center retrospective cohort included 1,276 hypertensive patients with TIA. All underwent 24-hour ABPM within 48 h. The outcome was IS within 90 days. LASSO regression selected key variables from 20 ABPM indices. Their independent association with IS was assessed using multivariable Cox regression across four progressively adjusted models. Predictive performance was evaluated via receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC) curves, nonlinearity via restricted cubic splines (RCS), and robustness via subgroup analyses.

resultsLASSO identified five key variables: nighttime systolic blood pressure variability (nSBPCV), daytime systolic blood pressure load (dSBPL), morning blood pressure surge (MBPS), nighttime systolic blood pressure (nSBP) and duration of hypertension. After all the adjustments, these variables remained independent risk factors for the occurrence of IS within 90 days in patients with a history of hypertension who suffered from TIA (all P < 0.001). nSBPCV (AUC = 0.834) and dSBPL (AUC = 0.804) outperformed the ABCD2 score (AUC = 0.685). RCS revealed nonlinear association for hypertension duration, nSBPCV, and dSBPL with clear inflection points (5.9 years, 9.1%, 37.3%). Results were consistent across subgroups.

conclusionsIn hypertensive TIA patients, ABPM-derived parameters, especially nSBPCV and dSBPL, are strong predictors of 90-day IS risk, superior to ABCD2. The identified nonlinear relationships and inflection points provide actionable thresholds for personalized risk stratification and precise blood pressure management.

Indexed as

Blood Pressure Monitoring, AmbulatoryHypertensionIschemic Attack, TransientIschemic StrokeAgedBlood PressureFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsAmbulatory blood pressure monitoringHypertensionIschemic strokeTransient ischemic attack

Identifiers

PMID41992144
PMCPMC13220556

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.