Evidence mapPaperPMID 42007347Full record

SynthesisFrontiers in public health2026

Predictive models for dysphagia in older adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Shujun Fan, Bingbing Chen, Chuan Yin, Yu Hao, Wanning Liu, Yu Zhang, Qin Liu, Zhe Zhang

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Frontiers in public health, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Shujun FanNursing Department, Fuyang Normal University Second Affiliated Hospital, Fuyang, Anhui, China.
Bingbing ChenNursing Department, Fuyang Normal University Second Affiliated Hospital, Fuyang, Anhui, China.
Chuan YinNursing Department, Fuyang Normal University Second Affiliated Hospital, Fuyang, Anhui, China.
Yu HaoNursing Department, Fuyang Normal University Second Affiliated Hospital, Fuyang, Anhui, China.
Wanning LiuNursing Department, Fuyang Normal University Second Affiliated Hospital, Fuyang, Anhui, China.
Yu ZhangNursing Department, Fuyang Normal University Second Affiliated Hospital, Fuyang, Anhui, China.
Qin LiuFuyang Medical School, Fuyang Normal University, Fuyang, Anhui, China.
Zhe ZhangDepartment of Oncology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Introduction: Dysphagia is a common condition among older adults, closely linked to aging and neurodegenerative diseases. It can lead to malnutrition, frailty, and aspiration pneumonia, thereby impairing quality of life and clinical outcomes. Although various interventions may improve swallowing function, early identification of high-risk individuals remains challenging. Existing predictive models show inconsistent performance and lack systematic evaluation. This study aimed to systematically review and assess predictive models for dysphagia risk in older adults. Methods: A comprehensive search was conducted across CNKI, the Chinese Science and Technology Journal Database, the Chinese Biomedical Literature Database, Wanfang Data, PubMed, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library, covering studies published up to September 15, 2025. Results: Of 7,113 records identified, 17 met inclusion criteria, with only two performing external validation. Reported AUCs ranged from 0.682 to 0.926, and all studies showed a high overall risk of bias. The pooled AUC from the meta-analysis was 0.82 (95% CI: 0.77-0.88). Common predictors included advanced age, smoking history, reduced self-care ability, polypharmacy, frailty, malnutrition, cognitive impairment, and poor oral health. Discussion: Overall, predictive modeling for dysphagia in older adults remains in an early stage, limited by methodological flaws and insufficient external validation. Future research should follow PROBAST standards and conduct large, multicenter validations to improve model reliability and clinical utility.

Indexed as

Deglutition DisordersAgedHumansRisk Factorsdysphagiameta-analysisnursingpredictive modelssystematic review

Identifiers

PMID42007347
PMCPMC13082982

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.