Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42086853›Full record

ArticleNature genetics2026

Age distinguishes selection from causation in cancer genomes.

David Cheek, Martin Blohmer, Martin A Nowak, Tibor Antal, Kamila Naxerova

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature genetics, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

David CheekDepartment of Genetics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA. david_cheek@hms.harvard.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4429-7315
Martin BlohmerDepartment of Genetics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5911-8420
Martin A NowakDepartment of Mathematics, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5489-0908
Tibor AntalSchool of Mathematics and the Maxwell Institute for Mathematical Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9640-8400
Kamila NaxerovaDepartment of Genetics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA. kamila_naxerova@hms.harvard.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7744-5110

Funding

PROJECT 4: Somatic evolution of the hematopoietic system in cardiovascular diseaseP01HL142494 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI Matthias Nahrendorf · 2019 to 2026
$19.5M
Illuminating the evolutionary history of colorectal cancer metastasis: basic principles and clinical applicationsR37CA225655 · NCI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI NAXEROVA, KAMILA · 2018 to 2024
$3.0M
Defining the role of seed and soil in peritoneal metastasis evolutionR01CA279054 · NCI · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI Kamila Naxerova · 2024 to 2026
$2.0M
Towards a complete characterization of the metastasis founder clones in colorectal cancerR01CA269281 · NCI · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI Kamila Naxerova · 2023 to 2026
$1.6M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA269281NCI NIH HHS R01 CA279054NCI NIH HHS R37 CA225655NHLBI NIH HHS P01 HL142494
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Cancer-causing mutations have been identified primarily from positive selection signals in cancer genomes. However, positive selection is also a ubiquitous feature of normal tissue aging. Here we develop a statistical framework to disentangle selection in normal tissue and causation of carcinogenesis. By comparing cancer and normal tissue genomes, we estimate the effects of mutations on cancer risk in the blood, esophagus and colon. We determine that stronger cancer-causing mutations are enriched at younger patient ages. This enables cancer-causing mutations to be identified from patient age distributions, even without normal tissue data. Moreover, we show for acute myeloid leukemia that the age-dependence of purported causal mutations can be explained largely by normal blood evolution, challenging the long-standing notion that childhood cancers require distinct mutations. Broadly, our framework delineates carcinogenesis from normal tissue aging, improving the assessment of cancer risk conferred by mutations.

Indexed as

AgingGenome, HumanNeoplasmsSelection, GeneticAge FactorsGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseHumansLeukemia, Myeloid, AcuteModels, GeneticMutation

Identifiers

PMID42086853
PMCPMC13263150

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.