Observational studyThe Lancet. Microbe2026
Assessing the effect of parasite antigen genetic diversity on performance of Plasmodium vivax serological exposure markers for malaria: a multicentre observational diagnostic accuracy study.
Observational study in The Lancet. Microbe, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
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Who cites it
1 citing paper in PubMed.
- Malaria serology for surveillance, insights into immunity, and vaccine development.Infection and immunity · 2026Review
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Authors and funding
23 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundPlasmodium vivax poses a major obstacle to malaria elimination because this parasite can lie dormant in the liver for weeks to months before reactivating and causing a relapse of infection. These dormant forms (hypnozoites) cannot be detected using standard diagnostics, but P vivax exposure in the previous 9 months and, by proxy, hypnozoite carriage, can be inferred using serological markers. In this study, we aimed to examine how genetic variation in P vivax affects the utility of these markers and whether redesigned antigens could improve performance.
methodsIn this observational diagnostic accuracy study, we analysed global P vivax genetic data to assess variation in leading serological markers (n=14). Accordingly, we expressed new haplotypes that better reflect global sequence diversity for eight antigens, compared with the commonly used reference strain (Sal-1). Antibody responses against these were tested using samples from cohorts in Brazil and Thailand, with magnitude assessed in relation to how recently participants had a qPCR-detectable blood-stage P vivax infection. We compared the ability of the haplotypes versus the reference to correctly identify individuals infected within the previous 9 months.
findingsExtensive global genetic diversity was identified in two P vivax antigens, MSP5 (π=14·8 × 10
interpretationEven highly diverse antigens can be effective serological markers. Our findings highlight the importance of testing the effect of genetic diversity and suggest practical strategies to ensure consistent performance across regions.
fundingAustralian National Health and Medical Research Council.
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