Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42168484›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2026

Increasing the ecological footprint significantly reduces life expectancy and increases infant mortality rates in Ethiopia.

Melaku Adinew Ayitehgiza, Abebaw Shimeles, Ketema Bekele, Million Sileshi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Melaku Adinew AyitehgizaSchool of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness, Haramaya University, Haramaya, Dire Dawa, Ethiopia. melakuadnew@gmail.com.
Abebaw ShimelesEthiopian Forest Development (EFD), Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Ketema BekeleSchool of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness, Haramaya University, Haramaya, Dire Dawa, Ethiopia.
Million SileshiSchool of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness, Haramaya University, Haramaya, Dire Dawa, Ethiopia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study aims to determine the effects of environmental degradation, proxied by the ecological footprint, on human health outcomes, particularly life expectancy and infant mortality, in Ethiopia. Using annual data for the period between 1980 and 2023, the study utilized long-run cointegration techniques: fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS), dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS), canonical cointegration regression (CCR), and Toda‒Yamamoto Granger causality. The results show a statistical association where a 1% increase in the ecological footprint is associated with a 0.162% increase in the infant mortality rate, and a 0.0089% reduction in life expectancy, suggesting a potential correlation between environmental pressure and health outcomes. Conversely, economic growth (0.43% increase in life expectancy per 1% increase in GDP) and public health expenditures (0.799% increase in life expectancy per 1% increase in spending) are positive long-term determinants. Bidirectional causality exists between health outcomes, economic growth, and environmental degradation. This study suggests that, pending further verification of causal mechanisms, policymakers may consider integrated strategies that simultaneously address environmental sustainability and public health investments.

Indexed as

Infant MortalityLife ExpectancyConservation of Natural ResourcesEthiopiaHumansInfantPublic HealthEcological footprintEthiopiaFMOLS. DOLSHealth outcomes

Identifiers

PMID42168484
PMCPMC13396474

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.