Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42201981›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2026

Crimean-congo haemorrhagic fever virus circulates within broad ecological networks of ticks and vertebrates.

Agustín Estrada-Peña, Oliver Carnell, Sara R Wijburg, Maya Holding, Hein Sprong

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Agustín Estrada-PeñaDepartment of Animal Health, University of Zaragoza, Zaragoza, Spain (retired).ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7483-046X
Oliver CarnellVirology and Pathogenesis Group, Public Health Microbiology, UK Health Security Agency, Porton Down, United Kingdom.
Sara R WijburgCentre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Maya HoldingVirology and Pathogenesis Group, Public Health Microbiology, UK Health Security Agency, Porton Down, United Kingdom.
Hein SprongCentre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We produced spatial datasets of the known distribution of Orthonairovirus haemorrhagiae (formerly Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever virus, CCHFV) by compiling human cases, virus isolations, and serological data from humans and animals, spanning from Europe to southern Africa, with the aim of virus range modelling. Models based solely on climatic variables produced unrealistic and overly extensive predictions, overestimating suitability in northern Europe and confirming that climate alone poorly explains CCHFV range. Approaches using only tick species distributions underperformed in many parts of Africa, reflecting the complexity of vector-host interactions and the absence of a strict tick-virus association. The integration of human-biting tick distributions, livestock density, and chorotypes yielded the most robust results, accurately capturing over 90% of known occurrences, by identifying vertebrate assemblages most likely to amplify the virus while reducing the number of explanatory variables. Chorotypes, representing clusters of co-occurring hosts, enhanced model performance and improved the delineation of both the Palearctic and African ranges limits of the virus. Our results support a generalist epidemiological model in which multiple tick species, together with a broad range of vertebrate hosts, sustain CCHFV circulation. This ecological flexibility, rather than strict vector specificity, likely explains the CCHFV wide biogeographical range and occasional lineage expansions across continents. This study provides the most comprehensive assessment to date of the determinants of the distribution of CCHFV. Although gaps remain, this study demonstrates that coupling abiotic and biotic predictors provides a more accurate and ecologically meaningful understanding of CCHFV distribution.

Indexed as

Hemorrhagic Fever, CrimeanHemorrhagic Fever Virus, Crimean-CongoTicksVertebratesAfricaAnimalsEuropeHumans

Identifiers

PMID42201981
PMCPMC13232941

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.