Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42230615›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

Automatic selection of the best neural architecture for time series forecasting.

Qianying Cao, Shanqing Liu, Alan John Varghese, Jérôme Darbon, Michael S Triantafyllou, George Em Karniadakis

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Qianying CaoDivision of Applied Mathematics, Brown University, Providence, RI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7570-012X
Shanqing LiuDivision of Applied Mathematics, Brown University, Providence, RI, USA.
Alan John VargheseSchool of Engineering, Brown University, Providence, RI, USA.
Jérôme DarbonDivision of Applied Mathematics, Brown University, Providence, RI, USA.
Michael S TriantafyllouDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA.
George Em KarniadakisDivision of Applied Mathematics, Brown University, Providence, RI, USA. george_karniadakis@brown.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-7120

Funding

United States Department of Defense | Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) HR00112490484
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Time series forecasting is essential across domains such as healthcare, energy, and climate modeling. While models like LSTMs, GRUs, Transformers, and State-Space Models (SSMs) have become widely used, selecting the optimal architecture remains unclear. We propose an automated framework that systematically designs hybrid architectures by combining LSTM, GRU, attention, and SSM modules. Our approach uses multi-objective optimization to explore combinations and orderings of blocks, yielding Pareto-optimal architectures that balance user-defined trade-offs among objectives. A preference function selects the most suitable model for a given application. Moreover, two sampling-based iterative procedures for Pareto-front exploration are introduced, which reduces the total training cost by nearly eightfold. Across four real-world benchmarks, our framework reveals that simple models excel in speed, while hybrid compositions dominate when balancing accuracy and complexity. Our findings challenge the notion of a universally superior neural architecture, emphasizing instead the value of data- and objective-driven design in time series forecasting.

Identifiers

PMID42230615
PMCPMC13392406

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.