Evidence mapPaperPMID 42237280Full record

SynthesisCardiovascular diabetology2026

Adolescent obesity and risk of serious chronic morbidity and mortality in young adulthood: a systematic review of cohorts from national registries.

Naomi Fliss Isakov, Yulia Balmakov, Laura Sol Grinshpan, Eyal Tsur, Nitzan Issler, Moran Blaychfeld Magnazi, Zivan Aviad Beer, Orit Pinhas-Hamiel, Gilad Twig, Avi Shina

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Cardiovascular diabetology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Naomi Fliss IsakovNutrition Division, Public Health Directorate, Ministry of Health, Jerusalem, Israel. naomi.fliss@moh.gov.il.
Yulia BalmakovDepartment of Military Medicine and "Tzameret", Faculty of Medicine, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel.
Laura Sol GrinshpanNutrition Division, Public Health Directorate, Ministry of Health, Jerusalem, Israel.
Eyal TsurDepartment of Military Medicine and "Tzameret", Faculty of Medicine, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel.
Nitzan IsslerGray Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.
Moran Blaychfeld MagnaziNutrition Division, Public Health Directorate, Ministry of Health, Jerusalem, Israel.
Zivan Aviad BeerDepartment of Military Medicine and "Tzameret", Faculty of Medicine, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel.
Orit Pinhas-HamielGray Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.
Gilad Twig *The Gertner Institute for Epidemiology & Health Policy Research, Sheba Medical Center, Ramat Gan, Israel.
Avi Shina *Department of Military Medicine and "Tzameret", Faculty of Medicine, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe rising prevalence of adolescent obesity necessitates a precise understanding of its corresponding risks for severe chronic morbidity and premature mortality during young adulthood and midlife.

methodsWe conducted a systematic review of nationwide longitudinal cohort studies, using validated national registries, aimed at assessing the short- and long-term risk of morbidity and mortality associated with adolescent overweight and obesity.

resultsWe included 38 studies in this systematic review. Adolescent overweight and obesity were associated with severe morbidity and disease related mortality, from young adulthood. Within < 4 years of follow-up and before the age of 25 years, severe adolescent obesity was associated with increased risk of serious morbidity (hazard ratio (HR) = 5.1 among men and HR = 7.3 among women), type 2 diabetes (HR = 27.0 among men, and HR = 45.3 among women), and obesity was associated with type 1 diabetes (HR = 2.0). Before the age of 30 years, adolescent severe obesity was associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD), obesity was associated with colorectal cancer (CRC) and with cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. Before the age of 40 years adolescent overweight and obesity were associated with ischemic stroke. Last, before the age of 50 years, adolescent severe obesity was associated with all-cause mortality, obesity was associated with diabetes mortality, and cancer.

conclusionsAdolescent obesity is strongly associated with an elevated hazard for severe disease morbidity and mortality beginning in young adulthood, with associations progressing with obesity severity and time. The findings of this study demonstrate the need for public health mitigation and preventive strategies, which may yield substantial short, and long-term health benefits in this population.

Indexed as

Pediatric ObesityAdolescentAdultAge FactorsAge of OnsetCause of DeathChronic DiseaseDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2FemaleHumansMalePrevalencePrognosisRegistriesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsAdolescent obesityLife course epidemiologyNationwide cohort studies

Identifiers

PMID42237280
PMCPMC13419026

What Socratic holds

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.