Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42243105›Full record

ArticleNPJ primary care respiratory medicine2026

Global, regional, and national trends in burden of lung cancer and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and associated risk factors, 1990-2021: results from the global burden of disease study 2021.

Jing Qian, Sheng Zhou, Rong Wang, Qian Wu, Jinliang Meng, Jun Zhang, Yunhui Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NPJ primary care respiratory medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Aggregation-Induced Emission Luminogens: Emerging Theranostic Platforms for Pulmonary Diseases.Luminescence : the journal of biological and chemical luminescence · 2026
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jing Qian *Department of Respiratory Medicine, The First People's Hospital of Yunnan Province/The Affiliated Hospital of Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming, 650032, China.
Sheng Zhou *Department of Medical Administration, The Third People's Hospital of Yunnan Province, Kunming, 650011, China.
Rong WangDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, The First People's Hospital of Yunnan Province/The Affiliated Hospital of Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming, 650032, China.
Qian WuDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, The First People's Hospital of Yunnan Province/The Affiliated Hospital of Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming, 650032, China.
Jinliang MengDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, The First People's Hospital of Yunnan Province/The Affiliated Hospital of Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming, 650032, China.
Jun ZhangMedical School, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming, China.
Yunhui ZhangDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, The First People's Hospital of Yunnan Province/The Affiliated Hospital of Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming, 650032, China. yunhuizhang3188@126.com.

Funding

Medical Reserve Talent Cultivation of the Health Commission of Yunnan Province NO.H-2025051Postdoctoral Research Fund of the First People's Hospital of Yunnan Province KHBSH-2023-05Respiratory Diseases Clinical Medical Research Center of Yunnan Province 202505AJ310010the Joint Application Foundation Project of Kunming Medical University and Yunnan Provincial Science and Technology Department 202201AY070001-224The open research project of Respiratory Diseases Clinica Medical Center of Yunnan Province 2024YNLCYXZX0100Yunnan Fundamental Research Projects 202501AU070019
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLung cancer (LC) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are fatal respiratory diseases with shared pathophysiological mechanisms. However, their global burden patterns remain insufficiently characterized within a comparative framework. This study aimed to conduct a comprehensive comparative global burden analysis of LC and COPD.

methodsUsing Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study data(1990-2021), we analyzed LC and COPD burden (incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs)), identified their associated risk factors, elucidated temporal trends, and projected future burden from 2022 to 2050.

resultsIn 2021, significant geographical variations in the burden of LC and COPD were observed, with LC predominantly burdening high-income European and Oceanian regions and COPD concentrated in low-to-middle-income Asian and Oceanian countries. Ten shared risk factors were identified for both diseases, among which tobacco use, smoking, ambient and household air pollution, occupational carcinogen exposure, and particulate matter pollution were the most common and prominent. Demographically, both diseases were concentrated in the elderly, peaking at slightly older ages, with LC showing more pronounced male predominance than COPD. From 1990-2021, females LC burden, rost most regions,whereas COPD burden declined globally across genders. Socioeconomically, socio-demographic index (SDI) was positively correlated with LC burden, but negatively correlated with COPD mortality and disability. High-SDI regions experienced a decline in LC and COPD declines, contrasting with the rising COPD prevalence in low-to-middle SDI regions. Projections (2022-2050) indicate declining LC incidence, mortality, and DALY rates (age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) from 26.43 to 22.18 per 100,000 by 2050), with stable prevalence. All COPD metrics are projected to decrease (age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) from 45.22 to 20.83 per 100,000 by 2050).

conclusionThis study presented a comprehensive comparative analysis of the global burden of LC and COPD, offering descriptive and comparative epidemiological evidence to inform tailored, disease-specific and region-specific prevention and control efforts.

Indexed as

Global Burden of DiseaseLung NeoplasmsPulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveAgedDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceRisk FactorsSmoking

Identifiers

PMID42243105
PMCPMC13554074

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.