Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42291843›Full record

ArticleLancet regional health. Americas2026

Genomic epidemiology of dengue virus serotype 3 lineage 3III_B.3.2 in Brazil: insights into its spread and dengue severity amid co-circulation of multiple dengue serotypes.

Caroline do Nascimento Ferreira, Carla Adriane Royer, Camila Confortin, Nelson Fernando Quallio Marques, Mayra Marinho Presibella, Aline Andrade Freund, Karoline Rodrigues Campos, Claudio Tavares Sacchi, Adriano Abbud, Gustavo Barbosa de Lima and 21 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Lancet regional health. Americas, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

31 authors.

Caroline do Nascimento FerreiraLaboratório de Virologia Molecular, Instituto Carlos Chagas, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Curitiba, Brazil.
Carla Adriane RoyerLaboratório de Virologia Molecular, Instituto Carlos Chagas, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Curitiba, Brazil.
Camila ConfortinLaboratório de Virologia Molecular, Instituto Carlos Chagas, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Curitiba, Brazil.
Nelson Fernando Quallio MarquesLaboratório Central de Saúde Pública do Estado do Paraná (LACEN-PR), São José dos Pinhais, Paraná, Brazil.
Mayra Marinho PresibellaLaboratório Central de Saúde Pública do Estado do Paraná (LACEN-PR), São José dos Pinhais, Paraná, Brazil.
Aline Andrade FreundLaboratório Central de Saúde Pública do Estado do Paraná (LACEN-PR), São José dos Pinhais, Paraná, Brazil.
Karoline Rodrigues CamposInstituto Adolfo Lutz, São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Claudio Tavares SacchiInstituto Adolfo Lutz, São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Adriano AbbudInstituto Adolfo Lutz, São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Gustavo Barbosa de LimaDepartamento de Entomologia, Instituto Aggeu Magalhães (IAM) - Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ), Recife, Pernambuco, Brazil.
Clarice Neuenschwander Lins de MoraisDepartamento de Virologia, Instituto Aggeu Magalhães (IAM), FIOCRUZ-Pernambuco, Recife, Pernambuco, Brazil.
Veronica Gomes da SilvaDepartamento de Virologia, Instituto Aggeu Magalhães (IAM), FIOCRUZ-Pernambuco, Recife, Pernambuco, Brazil.
Keilla Maria Paz E SilvaLaboratório Central de Saúde Pública de Pernambuco (LACEN-PE), Recife, Pernambuco, Brazil.
Mayara Matias de Oliveira Marques da CostaLaboratório Central de Saúde Pública de Pernambuco (LACEN-PE), Recife, Pernambuco, Brazil.
Sabrina GonçalvesLaboratório Central de Saúde Pública do Estado de Santa Catarina (LACEN-SC), Florianópolis, Santa Catarina, Brazil.
Sofia Isabel Rótulo AraújoLaboratório Central de Saúde Pública do Estado de Santa Catarina (LACEN-SC), Florianópolis, Santa Catarina, Brazil.
Darcita Buerger RovarisLaboratório Central de Saúde Pública do Estado de Santa Catarina (LACEN-SC), Florianópolis, Santa Catarina, Brazil.
Edson DelatorreLaboratório de Genômica e Ecologia Viral, Departamento de Patologia, Centro de Ciências da Saúde, Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo, Vitória, Espírito Santo, Brazil.
Rodrigo Ribeiro-RodriguesLaboratório Central de Saúde Pública do Estado do Espírito Santo (LACEN-ES), Vitória, Espírito Santo, Brazil.
Pedro Augusto AlvesLaboratório de Imunologia de Doenças Virais - Instituto René Rachou - Fiocruz Minas - Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil.
Daisy Maria StrottmannLaboratório de Virologia Molecular, Instituto Carlos Chagas, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Curitiba, Brazil.
Camila ZanlucaLaboratório de Virologia Molecular, Instituto Carlos Chagas, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Curitiba, Brazil.
Claudia Nunes Duarte Dos SantosLaboratório de Virologia Molecular, Instituto Carlos Chagas, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Curitiba, Brazil.
Felipe Gomes NavecaLaboratório de Arbovírus e Vírus Hemorrágicos, Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, Fiocruz, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Gabriel da Luz WallauDepartamento de Entomologia, Instituto Aggeu Magalhães (IAM) - Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ), Recife, Pernambuco, Brazil.
Daniel Maximo Correa AlcantaraFiocruz Mato Grosso do Sul, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Campo Grande, Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil.
Zoraida Del Carmen Fernandez GrilloFiocruz Mato Grosso do Sul, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Campo Grande, Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil.
Hellen Geremias Gatica SantosInstituto Carlos Chagas, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Curitiba, Brazil.
Gonzalo BelloLaboratório de Arbovírus e Vírus Hemorrágicos, Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, Fiocruz, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Tiago GräfLaboratório de Virologia Molecular, Instituto Carlos Chagas, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Curitiba, Brazil.
DENV study group

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: After over a decade of minimal circulation, DENV-3 reemerged in Brazil in 2023, driven by the newly detected lineage 3III_B.3.2. Elucidating the patterns of DENV-3 spread and impact on public health, is critically important in the context of Brazil's hyperendemic dengue scenario. Here, we aimed to investigate the spatiotemporal dispersion of this new lineage and its epidemiological impact in Brazil. Methods: We generated 87 near-complete DENV-3 genomes, sampled in nine different Brazilian states, that were analysed with publicly available sequences. Phylogeographic reconstructions inferred introduction events and spatial dispersion of lineage 3III_B.3.2. In parallel, dengue cases notifications (2023-2025) were used to fit multiple logistic regression models assessing associations between DENV serotypes and severity, adjusting for demographic and spatiotemporal covariates. Findings: We detected at least 14 introductions of lineage 3III_B.3.2 into Brazil during 2023-2024, followed by diversification into six region-specific clades. Epidemiological analyses applied to the RT-qPCR dengue confirmed cases showed an adjusted odds ratios for severe dengue ranging from 1.24 to 1.71 for DENV-2 and from 1.47 to 1.94 for DENV-3, across different settings and using DENV-1 infection as the reference category. Sensitivity analysis to evaluate potential recent heterotypic infection among infants ≤2 years adjusted by confunders showed an association between DENV-2 and severe dengue, while DENV-3 estimates were not statistically significant. Interpretation: Our results reveal a dynamic pattern of multiple introductions and regionally structured spread of 3III_B.3.2, which may represent a general feature as a similar reconstructed history has also been observed for other DENV serotypes/lineages in Brazil. Although the association observed between DENV-2 and DENV-3 and dengue severity may be influenced by secondary infections, our findings underscore that the co-circulation of multiple serotypes contributes to more severe epidemic outcomes and emphasize the need for ongoing DENV genomic surveillance. Funding: DECIT, CGLAB, Fiocruz, CNPq, and FAPES.

Indexed as

BrazilDengue severityDENV-3Genomic surveillancePhylogeography

Identifiers

PMID42291843
PMCPMC13254519

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.