Evaluating the ability of a thermal biology-informed reproduction number to explain patterns of West Nile incidence in Europe.

Julian Heidecke, Hedi Katre Kriit, Peter Fransson, Jonas Wallin, Joacim Rocklöv

Abstract read

In one paragraph

Article in One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it

0cells of the map it votes in

0citing papers in PubMed

–field-weighted citation impact

1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Julian HeideckeInterdisciplinary Center for Scientific Computing, Heidelberg University, Germany.

Hedi Katre KriitHeidelberg Institute of Global Health, Heidelberg University, Germany.

Peter FranssonInterdisciplinary Center for Scientific Computing, Heidelberg University, Germany.

Jonas WallinDepartment of Statistics, Lund University, Sweden.

Joacim RocklövInterdisciplinary Center for Scientific Computing, Heidelberg University, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

West Nile virus (WNV) is a growing risk to public and veterinary health in Europe, with intensifying outbreaks over recent decades coinciding with a rapidly warming climate. Thermal biology models parameterized through laboratory experiments on the mosquito vectors and the pathogen play a central role in our causal understanding of the effects of temperature on WNV transmission. We evaluated the ability of a thermal biology model of WNV's relative basic reproduction number (R

Indexed as

IncidenceMathematical modellingPublic healthThermal biologyTransmission potentialVector-borne diseasesWest Nile virus

Identifiers

PMID42294014

DOI10.1016/j.onehlt.2026.101469

PMCPMC13262279

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata

LicenceCC BY

Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.