ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Europe2026
Comparative Effectiveness and Safety of Once-Weekly Injectable Semaglutide Versus Dulaglutide in Individuals with Type 2 Diabetes Managed in UK Primary Care: A Population-Based Cohort Study.
Article in The Lancet regional health. Europe, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Abstract
Background: The SUSTAIN-7 trial demonstrated greater HbA1c and bodyweight reductions with once-weekly semaglutide versus dulaglutide in type 2 diabetes, but strict eligibility criteria limit external validity. We evaluated the comparative real-world effectiveness and safety of these agents in UK primary care. Methods: Using the IQVIA Medical Research Data (IMRD) incorporating data from THIN, a Cegedim Database, we included adults with type 2 diabetes initiating semaglutide or dulaglutide between 01-Jan-2019 and 01-Dec-2022, followed through 30-Jun-2023. Co-primary outcomes were 1-year changes in HbA1c and bodyweight, estimated using a new-user, active-comparator cohort design with marginal structural models and inverse probability of treatment weighting. Treatment heterogeneity was assessed in the primary per-protocol analysis by SUSTAIN-7 trial-eligibility. Safety events were assessed while-on-treatment. Findings: Among 6616 new users, 4636 (70.1%) remained on-treatment and 1980 (29.9%) discontinued early. Semaglutide new users (n = 1901) achieved greater 1-year reductions than dulaglutide new users (n = 2735) in HbA1c (estimated treatment difference [ETD] -0.22 percentage points [95% CI -0.30, -0.15]) and bodyweight (ETD -1.92 kg [95% CI -2.91, -0.93]). While semaglutide's benefits were preserved across the 87.7% (n = 4064) not meeting SUSTAIN-7 trial-eligibility (HbA1c: ETD -0.23 percentage points [95% CI -0.31, -0.15]; bodyweight: ETD -2.01 kg [95% CI -3.07, -0.95]), reductions in HbA1c and bodyweight were greater among trial-eligible individuals (12.3%; n = 572) for both agents (trial-eligible [semaglutide/dulaglutide] versus non-eligible [semaglutide/dulaglutide] individuals, HbA1c: -1.10/-1.02 versus -0.83/-0.60 percentage points; bodyweight: -5.72/-4.18 versus -5.50/-3.49 kg). Early discontinuers showed attenuated treatment effects and higher gastrointestinal event rates than those remaining on-treatment (23.5-26.1 versus 10.6-13.8 per 100 person-years). Interpretation: New users of semaglutide achieved greater reductions in HbA1c and bodyweight than new users of dulaglutide with comparable safety, with benefits preserved across SUSTAIN-7 trial-eligible and non-eligible individuals, supporting preferential use of semaglutide in UK clinical practice. Funding: Swiss National Science Foundation.
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